Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
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Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
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- slifsh99378173988286089033663738715265264209720719794327668227181121935815066311419
- Guytam92342905823207342207765684818145364347916382557275545575014769596910785429525
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- Mgazit195792342905823207342207765684818145364347916382557275545575014769596910785429525
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5 comentarii
Din discuția proprie a Polymarket- Glicha · acum 15 zile
they always miss by 10 mandates minimum
- Stannis1974 · acum 20 de zile
Last poll: Maariv 11/9 - Likud 19
- TheJewishHammer · luna trecută
Likud would not have 35. Even that I'm holding it. No pole gives Likud 35 mandates. So, the odds are better there.
- Glicha · luna trecută
that's not true. you have either 34 or 35 outcome
- TheJewishHammer · luna trecută
Guys, if you believe that Likud won't loose seats, so it's better you put your money on the market how many seats will Likud take. The market 30-34 is better by price to risk.
La 1 oct., 21:57 UTC