Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

No100 %
Yes0 %

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Lichiditate23,5 K USD
Spread0 %
Se decide28 oct. 2026peste 28 de zile

Istoricul probabilităților

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Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%2 sept.9 sept.16 sept.23 sept.29 sept.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page). The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. Otherwise: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. - If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.

Aceeași întrebare în altă parte

Vezi întrebarea combinată →
Comparabile, nu identice. The markets use materially identical resolution criteria and source-of-truth rules. They differ only in nominal resolution timestamps (October 27 versus October 28, 2026), which does not change the event or question.
  • LimitlessDeschide →

    Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Otzma Yehudit

    Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) ( https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page ). The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. Otherwise: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. - If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.

    0 deținători · citit 29 sept., 21:24 UTC

  • Polymarketaceastă piață

    Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

    Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page). The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. Otherwise: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. - If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.

    81 deținători · 13 comentarii · citit 28 sept., 02:38 UTC

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

PiațăPlatformăPrețStare
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Polymarket100 % NoDeschisă
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Polymarket100 % NoDeschisă
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Polymarket58 % NoDeschisă
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Polymarket59 % YesDeschisă
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Polymarket99 % NoDeschisă

Activitatea platformei

Deținători81
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Discuție pe Predxy

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14 comentarii

Comentariile aparțin evenimentului platformei, nu acestui rezultat. Toate variantele aceluiași eveniment împart acest fir.
  • Fluffy-Pinkie · acum 13 zile

    the time for a merger is over for this election!

  • ydxistheking · acum 24 de zile

    If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party

  • ydxistheking · acum 24 de zile

    In the past couple days there is a renewed push for Naftali Bennet and Gadi Eisenkots Yashar party to merge. Yashar is currently leading the market with 55% to be the largest party in the election. However, I went to read the rules to see how polymarket would resolve the market if Bennet ends up joining the Yashar list. Turns out, if any party ends up running on a joint list with Together, together wins even if Yashar makes up the large majority of the new party. If this merger does end up happening, the new list will easily be the largest party

  • TheJewishHammer · acum 26 de zile

    וואלה אחי, לא יודע מה להגיד לך. מקווה מאוד שאתה צודק. אבל אני בספק.

  • TheJewishHammer · acum 26 de zile

    המצב של הליכוד לא הכי טוב. כולם נוגסים המנדטים של הליכוד. לדעתי, המחיר על הליכוד גבוה מידי כרגע. מאמין שבסוף, הליכוד תהיה המפלגה הכי גדולה. אייזנקוט מתחזק, על חשבון בנט. הליכוד מאבד מנדטים לבן גביר, סמוטזהות ולוינטר. המצב לא פשוט. בוא נראה מה יהיה עם השיריונים של ביבי. אם לא יביא חיזוק משמעותי, ייתכן שאייזנקוט יעבור אל הליכוד במנדטים

  • Hummershark · acum 27 de zile

    זה גם מה שאני לא מבין

  • Hummershark · acum 27 de zile

    מה נסגר עם הליכוד ? לא יתכן שהליכוד לא יוביל בראש רשימת המפלגות , כנראה בגלל פיצול של מפלגות לווין ?

  • Illiterate-Zinc · acum 28 de zile

    נראה לי פיספסת קצת את הקונספט של האתר, אחי

  • orelR34 · luna trecută

    Everyone knows that on election day people will simply vote for Likud. The polls are always wrong.

  • TheJewishHammer · acum 3 luni

    תלוי באיזה ערוץ צופים. אני מסכים איתך

  • Glicha · acum 3 luni

    כסף על הריצפה, ליכוד ב8-10 מנדטים יותר מישר

  • ydxistheking · acum 3 luni

    ישר יותר מדי

  • Kingsaka · acum 4 luni

    מה זה משנה אחי

  • ophphirmatatu · acum 4 luni

    this market is just useless, the party with the most seats means basically nothing in israel

La 29 sept., 22:43 UTC