Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
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Reguli de decizie
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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Citit de la platformă acum 5 zileCel mai bun bid 6 % · cel mai bun ask 8 %
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14 comentarii
Din discuția proprie a Polymarket- DrOetker · acum 27 de zile
Get this to 97–98. There is NO CHANCE Trump puts BOOTS ON THE GROUND and lets AMERICANS DIE for some FOURTH-WORLD ISLAND after the IRAN WAR DISASTER - in an ELECTION YEAR! Thank you for your attention to this matter!
- Milin-dc · acum 3 luni
no, a no ser de que traten de controlar algún territorio por un tiempo
- One-step-closer · acum 3 luni
Tal vez ocurra algo en Bolivia o Cuba, pero no estoy seguro de si una operación especial se cataloga como invasión.
- opp22 · acum 7 luni
2 months old but as of now not vey compelling
- 64MGX75VLQ · acum 7 luni
of course it is
- Dynamit3 · acum 7 luni
i just want to point out, brazil is not a Latin American country
- DontTrustMe · acum 7 luni
This market is just a proxy for a US military intervention in Cuba or people have something else in mind? Venezuela has already been "dealt with" and I think a ground operation in Mexico is completely unrealistic.
- RealMrBeast · acum 8 luni
Same whales, same playbook ArmageddonRewardsBilly appears as a dominant holder across multiple political markets, continuously followed by the same wallets, including alliswell and CrazyB1-chX0X0. They enter late during disputes or final review and trigger abrupt price flips from 0-1% to 99-100% without new factual evidence. This is coordination, not price discovery. The final price reflects who can coordinate the most capital at the end, not reality. Warning: Everyone, please stop betting if you see these whales participating until Polymarket has an official response.
- CoffeeLover · acum 9 luni
My opinion: [link removed]
- Cadric · acum 9 luni
All the countries in the Americas are America's backyard.
- djkewoidjwei · acum 9 luni
there is a rich person putting yes on this that put 30k on no for invading venezuela before 2027 don’t fall for the pump
- djkewoidjwei · acum 9 luni
obviously not, they’re not going to invade venezuela they’ll just silently run it, you’ll have to be an actual idiot to put yes on this
- youareaidiot · acum 9 luni
lmao this is funny
- FaithOverLuck · acum 9 luni
I can't wait to find a Latin American Country ! When will they be available to invade asking for a friend.
La 30 sept., 01:00 UTC