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Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

No88 %

Yes13 %

Preț verificat la 30 sept., 07:49 UTC

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Volum 24h68,9 USD

Volum 7z2,7 K USD

Volum 30z9,5 K USD

Lichiditate45,4 K USD

Spread1 %

Se decide1 ian. 2027peste 3 luni

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Reguli de decizie

This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for Bitcoin will be Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT in the chart with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar and the mouse on the candle for the relevant minute (the “time tools” selection may be used to view historical candles). The percentage change in Gold will be calculated by comparing the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by MarketWatch. The resolution source for Gold will be MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) under “Historical Quotes” at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/gc00. The percentage change in the S&P 500 will be calculated by comparing the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance. The resolution source for the S&P 500 will be Yahoo Finance, specifically the Close values published by Yahoo Finance for S&P 500 Index (^SPX) at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history/. If two or more listed assets have exactly the same performance for 2026, this market will resolve according to the asset whose name, as listed in the title of this market, comes first alphabetically (e.g. if Bitcoin and Gold tie, this market will resolve to Bitcoin). Only closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used. If any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used.

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Comparabile, nu identice. The published resolution criteria do not differ in any material way; Polymarket lists a resolution time of January 1, 2027, while PredictFun does not specify one.

Polymarketaceastă piață
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for Bitcoin will be Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT in the chart with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar and the mouse on the candle for the relevant minute (the “time tools” selection may be used to view historical candles). The percentage change in Gold will be calculated by comparing the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by MarketWatch. The resolution source for Gold will be MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) under “Historical Quotes” at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/gc00. The percentage change in the S&P 500 will be calculated by comparing the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance. The resolution source for the S&P 500 will be Yahoo Finance, specifically the Close values published by Yahoo Finance for S&P 500 Index (^SPX) at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history/. If two or more listed assets have exactly the same performance for 2026, this market will resolve according to the asset whose name, as listed in the title of this market, comes first alphabetically (e.g. if Bitcoin and Gold tie, this market will resolve to Bitcoin). Only closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used. If any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used.
275 deținători · 22 comentarii · citit 28 sept., 08:55 UTC
PredictFunDeschide →
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for Bitcoin will be Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT in the chart with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar and the mouse on the candle for the relevant minute (the “time tools” selection may be used to view historical candles). The percentage change in Gold will be calculated by comparing the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by MarketWatch. The resolution source for Gold will be MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) under “Historical Quotes” at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/gc00. The percentage change in the S&P 500 will be calculated by comparing the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance. The resolution source for the S&P 500 will be Yahoo Finance, specifically the Close values published by Yahoo Finance for S&P 500 Index (^SPX) at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history/. If two or more listed assets have exactly the same performance for 2026, this market will resolve according to the asset whose name, as listed in the title of this market, comes first alphabetically (e.g. if Bitcoin and Gold tie, this market will resolve to Bitcoin). Only closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used. If any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used.
citit 30 sept., 02:46 UTC

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

O variantă citită singură induce în eroare; celelalte sunt alături.

Piață	Platformă	Preț	Volum 24h	Lichiditate	Final programat	Stare
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Polymarket	75 % No	200,8 USD	—	—	Deschisă
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Polymarket	60 % Yes	193,4 USD	—	—	Deschisă

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Deținători275

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Comentarii21

Cel mai bun bid 12 % · cel mai bun ask 13 %

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21 de comentarii

Din discuția proprie a Polymarket

Comentariile aparțin evenimentului platformei, nu acestui rezultat. Toate variantele aceluiași eveniment împart acest fir.

GenaTheBondKilIer · acum 2 luni
tst
quickwhale1589 · acum 2 luni
my copy trades keep hitting
Zesty-Nucleotide · acum 2 luni
perps: 00jbvof3
HeyVaro · acum 4 luni
performance
HeyVaro · acum 4 luni
Sp500 ..
Great-Calm · acum 5 luni
SnP will be up btc will be going down till dec and gold has reached its high
Poppy6 · acum 5 luni
Individual stock differentiation intensifies, and the market is shifting from general ups and downs to structural gains.
waive · acum 6 luni
je suis bitcoin
Reasonable-Desire · acum 7 luni
Concur
Amaranthay · acum 7 luni
gold
Pmw-Julio · acum 7 luni
Ouro ou Bitcoin ??
bndrn · acum 7 luni
wtf
Absolute.Degenerate · acum 8 luni
yes but almost better hodling bitcoin boring bet too
Absolute.Degenerate · acum 8 luni
yes but boring. better hold bitcoin
azmor · acum 8 luni
easy money
mooresharon · acum 9 luni
Bitcoin
wsmitpwtind · acum 9 luni
why not buy sp500 instead
Constant-Inscription · acum 9 luni
why did this trade lost in the resolution source before the trade close it was down how come yours said lost wtf your current price is not matching that of the The resolution source
Obamnna · acum 9 luni
Lol you can make 140% here and bitcoin can win by just going down less
TheGoldenShotg4nSK · acum 9 luni
Instead of betting on BTC just buy BTC. That way you will be more likely to make profit and even if SP500 or gold outperforms BTC you will still have profit from BTC gaining value.

La 30 sept., 08:23 UTC