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Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No100 %

Yes0 %

Preț verificat la 30 sept., 03:20 UTC

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Volum 24h82,8 USD

Volum 7z542,8 USD

Volum 30z1,3 K USD

Lichiditate1,4 K USD

Spread1 %

Se decide1 ian. 2027peste 3 luni

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Reguli de decizie

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Comparabile, nu identice. The venues differ in stated resolution time (Polymarket shortly after the period ends; Limitless at the period endpoint), but this does not change the underlying question. Their published resolution criteria and sources otherwise match materially.

Polymarketaceastă piață
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
73 deținători · 0 comentarii · citit 25 sept., 22:55 UTC
LimitlessDeschide →
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: >16
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
0 deținători · citit 30 sept., 00:20 UTC

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

O variantă citită singură induce în eroare; celelalte sunt alături.

Piață	Platformă	Preț	Volum 24h	Lichiditate	Final programat	Stare
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Deschisă
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Deschisă
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	59 % Yes	120,1 USD	—	—	Deschisă
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	100,5 USD	—	—	Deschisă
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	98 % No	98,8 USD	—	—	Deschisă
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	61 % No	28,1 USD	—	—	Deschisă
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	99 % No	12,8 USD	—	—	Deschisă

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La 30 sept., 03:42 UTC