How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 7-8

No98 %
Yes3 %

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Se decide31 dec. 2026peste 3 luni

Istoricul probabilităților

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Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%2 sept.9 sept.16 sept.23 sept.29 sept.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Aceeași întrebare în altă parte

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Comparabile, nu identice. The published resolution criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists settlement at 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC, while Limitless lists 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC; this settlement-time difference does not change the underlying question.
  • PolymarketDeschide →

    Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    124 deținători · 0 comentarii · citit 25 sept., 16:07 UTC

  • Limitlessaceastă piață

    How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 7-8

    This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    5 deținători · citit 29 sept., 20:36 UTC

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

PiațăPlatformăPrețStare
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: <5Limitless50 % YesDeschisă
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 5-6Limitless50 % NoDeschisă
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 11-12Limitless99 % NoDeschisă
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 9-10Limitless99 % NoDeschisă
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 13-14Limitless50 % NoDeschisă
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 15-16Limitless50 % NoDeschisă
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: >16Limitless99 % NoDeschisă

Activitatea platformei

Deținători5
Valoare deținută304,6 USD
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Tranzacții5
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Cel mai bun bid 0 % · cel mai bun ask 5 %

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La 29 sept., 22:17 UTC