Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?

No100 %
Yes0 %

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Se decide19 apr. 2027peste 7 luni

Istoricul probabilităților

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Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%2 sept.9 sept.16 sept.24 sept.1 oct.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Aceeași întrebare în altă parte

Vezi întrebarea combinată →
Comparabile, nu identice. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket specifies a settlement timestamp corresponding to the stated December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET cutoff, while PredictFun does not specify a separate settlement timestamp.
  • PredictFunDeschide →

    Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    citit 1 oct., 12:36 UTC

  • Polymarketaceastă piață

    Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    159 deținători · 790 comentarii · citit 27 sept., 23:43 UTC

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774 de comentarii

Comentariile aparțin evenimentului platformei, nu acestui rezultat. Toate variantele aceluiași eveniment împart acest fir.
  • Hot-Skull · acum 13 ore

    RORO crypto qui va pas tarder a nous faire une vidéo sur David Lisnard ☺️

  • Wise-Bison-Wolf · acum 23 de ore

    le pen at 43 but polybro edge sees the gap closing, market hasnt adjusted

  • Reckless-Verve · ieri

    Lagarde can win the election ... tic tac... 0.4 is free money.

  • BrentonTarrantNewZealand · ieri

    Declare Marine Le Pen as the Queen of France at this point

  • The-Last-Degen · alaltăieri

    Where is that guy that bet the house on Villepin

  • WhaleWatch-02684 · alaltăieri

    Tradman holds $13,755.64 on Marine Le Pen outcome Yes. Unrealized profit: $6,670.70. They turned $7,084.94 into over $13,755.64.

  • martinreddot · acum 3 zile

    Amazing that she could even be candidate!

  • Hot-Skull · acum 3 zile

    I think we have other more important problems

  • Hot-Skull · acum 3 zile

    Pareil

  • Giorgio2 · acum 3 zile

    I could fuck with Clemence Guette if asked to

  • Fond-Killing · acum 3 zile

    I can't lie Lisnard is a great candidate. He has got confidence and quite literally he is the most articulate Presidential candidate. However, I am unable to support him as he does not endorse a policy to fully ban hijab in all public spaces. It's about time French people realize that hijabs are just as bad as burqas

  • RoadtoSanary · acum 3 zile

    Parce que personne le connaît pour l'instant

  • RoadtoSanary · acum 3 zile

    Lisnard a des chances de passer, il dit pas de la merde, il est en fort en débat, il a du charisme mais le problème est qu'il est pas assez connu

  • WhaleWatch-17056 · acum 3 zile

    lastminwin is up 9.34% on their $35,498.84 bet on Édouard Philippe with outcome No. Current value: $38,815.91. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

  • Fond-Killing · acum 3 zile

    Don't worry about that at all. Le Pen is double digits ahead of both Melenchon and Phillipe in the first round. The second round worries be because tyrants like Islamists and white liberal women will form a bloc to vote against Le Pen.

  • WhaleWatch-65063 · acum 4 zile

    lastminwin is up 9.34% on their $35,498.84 bet on Édouard Philippe with outcome No. Current value: $38,815.91. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

  • WhaleWatch-57678 · acum 4 zile

    flovertaco is currently one of the most profitable traders on Marine Le Pen with already $3,607.98 / +40.59% in total gains. Their position: $12,497.03 on outcome Yes. When the top earner doubles down, keep watching.

  • Baggy-Lion · acum 4 zile

    I first was about to trash talk on you but its actually not a bad idea except if we all do that she might not go 2 round SO no thanks you, lets just make here pass first round

  • Hot-Skull · acum 4 zile

    Lisnard ☺️

  • Fond-Killing · acum 4 zile

    To all the French patriots out there. Please vote Melenchon in the first round to ensure that Le Pen and Melenchon gets paired in the second round. Even a dog can win against the Islamist Melenchon. If Édouard Phillipe advances to the second round, Le Pen could be in trouble as Phillipe will attract a sizeable portion of moderate voters.

La 1 oct., 14:58 UTC