Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No100 %
Yes0 %

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Se decide1 apr. 2027peste 6 luni

Istoricul probabilităților

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Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%2 sept.9 sept.16 sept.23 sept.29 sept.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Aceeași întrebare în altă parte

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Comparabile, nu identice. The published criteria are identical; PredictFun has no resolvesAt value, while Polymarket lists April 1, 2027 at 03:59 UTC, consistent with the stated March 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET cutoff.
  • PredictFunDeschide →

    Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

    citit 29 sept., 19:17 UTC

  • Polymarketaceastă piață

    Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

    160 deținători · 209 comentarii · citit 22 sept., 06:20 UTC

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203 comentarii

Comentariile aparțin evenimentului platformei, nu acestui rezultat. Toate variantele aceluiași eveniment împart acest fir.
  • DonationsReceiver · alaltăieri

    The president of the US and the DUMBEST MOTHERFUCKER ON EARTH should be 2 separate people

  • sciuboi · acum 5 zile

    tremendous guy, best guy I've frankly never met!

  • adonpoli · acum 5 zile

    Such a good guy

  • adonpoli · acum 5 zile

    Yeah sad

  • DonationsReceiver · acum 7 zile

    why no liquidity here?

  • sciuboi · acum 9 zile

    I love donald

  • GenaTheBondKilIer · acum 10 zile

    Trump has ended 8 wars and just started one, he deserves it

  • jjjjok6666 · acum 14 zile

    Donny pls finish war in Ukraine and get your prize, thx

  • jjjjok6666 · acum 14 zile

    Donny pls finish war in Ukraine and get your Nobel prize, thx

  • Slimy-Trial · acum 15 zile

    Where is benjamin netanyahu?

  • Threadbare-Signal · acum 19 zile

    New entities were added against the rules!!! There was a premise in the previous rules that no new entities will be added!!! That's a clear violation!!!

  • TheDao · acum 24 de zile

    They need to add Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs), They consistently top shortlist evaluations by experts like the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO), which closely tracks Nobel trends...

  • GenaTheBondKilIer · acum 25 de zile

    Discord

  • maybebrian · luna trecută

    How do we add options to this? My frontrunners arent even on here

  • abdoohl · luna trecută

    Ali IMHO

  • sbolt6125 · acum 2 luni

    omg, nobody please

  • Thedevilwearsprada · acum 2 luni

    Bibi lmao

  • DontTrustMe · acum 2 luni

    But we are Charlie Kirk. So all of us? 🫨

  • 8908DFG · acum 2 luni

    Charlie Kirk

  • vc789bjn · acum 2 luni

    hould add the

La 29 sept., 22:58 UTC