Florida Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 2% and 4%? David Jolly, 2-4%

If the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Jolly minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Jolly if David Jolly wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Jolly loses. If David Jolly wins, the margin will be positive; if David Jolly loses, the margin will be negative; if David Jolly ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Jolly runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.