Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — JD Vance

No77 %
Yes23 %

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Entscheidet sich10. Nov. 2028in 2 Jahren

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Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf0%25%50%75%100%2. Okt., 08:202. Okt., 10:472. Okt., 13:152. Okt., 15:43

In diesem Zeitraum liegen vor dem 2. Okt. keine aufgezeichneten Daten vor.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>). Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance. If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated. If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Otherwise, the market resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive.

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. PredictFun and Polymarket use the AP, Fox News, and NBC calls, falling back to inauguration; Gemini uses the same initial sources but adds an FEC/last-price fallback if no candidate is inaugurated. Polymarket and Gemini publish estimated settlement times, while PredictFun does not.
  • PredictFunÖffnen →

    Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    gelesen 2. Okt., 14:43 UTC

  • PolymarketÖffnen →

    Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    5774 Halter · 1037 Kommentare · gelesen 30. Sept., 11:23 UTC

  • Geminidieser Markt

    Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — JD Vance

    This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>). Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance. If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated. If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Otherwise, the market resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive.

    gelesen 2. Okt., 15:29 UTC

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