Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026? — Republican Party

No70 %
Yes30 %

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Entscheidet sich1. Feb. 2027in 3 Monaten

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Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf0%25%50%75%100%2. Okt.9. Okt.17. Okt.24. Okt.1. Nov.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This contract resolves based on whether the Republican Party controls the U.S. Senate following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Control is defined as holding the most seats in the Senate based on final, official results. A majority consists of at least 51 seats. If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government, including consideration of the Vice President’s tie-breaking role. Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party. If control cannot be determined by seat totals, control is determined by Senate leadership, as reflected by the party affiliation of the President Pro Tempore. The contract resolves to Yes if the Republican Party controls the Senate and to No otherwise. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4N0uAFXTLBUpbp1Z7iPjJi/f185eb7d03ccd2e33a41426f215b8b53/Election_Outcomes_-_Terms_and_Conditions.pdf)

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. Kalshi may resolve early via a consensus of media calls and otherwise uses the President pro tempore on February 1, 2027; Gemini primarily uses final official seat totals, with tie-breaking and leadership fallbacks. They also list different settlement times on February 1, 2027.
  • Who will control the Senate?: Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026? Republican Party

    If the Republican Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2027.

    gelesen 31. Okt., 04:38 UTC

  • Geminidieser Markt

    Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026? — Republican Party

    This contract resolves based on whether the Republican Party controls the U.S. Senate following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Control is defined as holding the most seats in the Senate based on final, official results. A majority consists of at least 51 seats. If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government, including consideration of the Vice President’s tie-breaking role. Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party. If control cannot be determined by seat totals, control is determined by Senate leadership, as reflected by the party affiliation of the President Pro Tempore. The contract resolves to Yes if the Republican Party controls the Senate and to No otherwise. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4N0uAFXTLBUpbp1Z7iPjJi/f185eb7d03ccd2e33a41426f215b8b53/Election_Outcomes_-_Terms_and_Conditions.pdf)

    gelesen 30. Okt., 04:52 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

MarktPlattformPreisStatus
Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026? — Democratic PartyGemini73 % YesOffen

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Stand 1. Nov., 11:04 UTC