Kash Patel out as FBI Director?: Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029?
Preis geprüft am
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter VerlaufZiehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen
Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.
Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.
Entscheidungsregeln
If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Kash Patel must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kash Patel out as FBI Director?: Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2026? | Kalshi | 98 % No | Offen |
| Kash Patel out as FBI Director?: Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Nov 1, 2026? | Kalshi | 91 % No | Offen |
| Kash Patel out as FBI Director?: Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026? | Kalshi | 81 % No | Offen |
| Kash Patel out as FBI Director?: Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 54 % No | Offen |
| Kash Patel out as FBI Director?: Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Apr 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 64 % No | Offen |
| Kash Patel out as FBI Director?: Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2028? | Kalshi | 61 % Before Jan 1, 2028 | Offen |
| Kash Patel out as FBI Director?: Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 55 % No | Offen |
| Kash Patel out as FBI Director?: Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2028? | Kalshi | 91 % No | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen in dieser MinuteDiskussion auf Predxy
Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.
Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
Stand 30. Sept., 06:24 UTC