Where will Waymo operate in 2026?: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Tokyo, Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Tokyo, Japan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Tokyo, Japan, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Tokyo, Japan may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Tokyo, Japan Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Tokyo, Japan limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Tokyo, Japan Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Tokyo, Japan Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Tokyo, Japan Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Tokyo, Japan All Waymo vehicles in Tokyo, Japan have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2027