Next French presidential election winner?: Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

No80 %
Édouard Philippe20 %

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Entscheidet sich31. Mai 2027in 8 Monaten

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Entscheidungsregeln

If Édouard Philippe wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. Kalshi specifies a May 31, 2027 resolution time and only states the Yes condition, while PredictFun uses the actual next-election timing, permits an earlier election, and has a December 31, 2027 fallback to Other. PredictFun also specifies credible reporting and French Ministry of the Interior results as sources; these are resolution-rule differences, not a different underlying question.
  • Kalshidieser Markt

    Next French presidential election winner?: Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

    If Édouard Philippe wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    gelesen 30. Sept., 12:32 UTC

  • PredictFunÖffnen →

    Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    gelesen 30. Sept., 09:08 UTC

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