Iran leadership change by October 31?
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Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.
Entscheidungsregeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Polymarket | 89 % No | Offen |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 78 % No | Offen |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Polymarket | 95 % No | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen vorgesternBestes Gebot 97 % · bester Brief 98 %
Größte Halter
- stupid2249234118435352323291730777734805386699990286390595415348937712915074904021022
- Skinny-Diving76758908365678711322172114828022663697257752796914712513878834641665977747840
- MEPP76758908365678711322172114828022663697257752796914712513878834641665977747840
- ethBELIVER76758908365678711322172114828022663697257752796914712513878834641665977747840
- TylerTurden49234118435352323291730777734805386699990286390595415348937712915074904021022
Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.
Letzte Trades
- BUY3 %19,4 $vorgestern
- SELL98 %1669,8 $vorgestern
- SELL2 %0,1 $vorgestern
- BUY98 %134,5 $vorgestern
- SELL97 %18,5 $vor 3 Tagen
- SELL3 %0,8 $vor 3 Tagen
Diskussion auf Predxy
Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.
Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
991 Kommentare
Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket- David.Brown19 · vor 11 Tagen
prediсuе flagged low confidence on a signal today. i didn't enter. market crashed against everyone. thanks for being honest
- 12beduins · vor 12 Tagen
- Jatheripper · vor 15 Tagen
good luck killing the dead
- abdoohl · vor 19 Tagen
- Robbb · vor 2 Monaten
lol
- Prickly-Passport · vor 2 Monaten
Breaking:Mojtaba waked up !
- altdel · vor 2 Monaten
As always, just Iranian rumors. Take advantage while others are selling.
- Mikelious · vor 2 Monaten
BREAKING 🔴 Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is in extremely critical condition and could pass away at any moment, two sources close to the Pezeshkian administration told IranWire.
- NOIZYUV · vor 2 Monaten
Mojtaba Khamenei's father-in-law, former Iranian Parliament Speaker Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel, in an interview with the Iranian IRNA agency: "For certain reasons, he is not in contact with any entity or person, hoping that he is healthy"
- Zubumafu · vor 2 Monaten
Better sell those 6K bro, they can't hide the fact that their leader is dead forever
- Treedud25 · vor 2 Monaten
Already over
- PMTraderAdam · vor 2 Monaten
In the city, 'member used to drive a Yukon
- Laurenman · vor 2 Monaten
Fact.
- GollumGekko · vor 2 Monaten
the dead cannot die
- Zubumafu · vor 2 Monaten
They will keep him as Zombie leader for the next 2-3 months and then replace him
- Zubumafu · vor 2 Monaten
He is likely dead, and if not, he will get assassinated, Trump is sick of him
- anonym · vor 2 Monaten
Can a dead person be a de facto leader? What would Saul Kripke think of this?
- NOIZYUV · vor 2 Monaten
The Saudi channel Al-Hadath claims, citing an Israeli security source: "Mojtaba Khamenei is not in Iran."
- NOIZYUV · vor 3 Monaten
As a ghost maybe
- Zubumafu · vor 3 Monaten
Yeah that one is free money, just sucks that it's going to be a while until we receive it
Stand 29. Sept., 21:59 UTC