Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
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Entscheidungsregeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...: December 31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
0 Halter · gelesen 30. Sept., 00:27 UTC
- Polymarketdieser Markt
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
320 Halter · 518 Kommentare · gelesen 26. Sept., 12:32 UTC
- OpinionÖffnen →
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by... — December 31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
gelesen 30. Sept., 05:58 UTC
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | Polymarket | 98 % No | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen vor 4 TagenBestes Gebot 6 % · bester Brief 7 %
Größte Halter
- stupid2284162249682804643677144956827999494501534393383918743969607995520583607994795
- dromedaryy81143229469963573855078465101077700973718156690198435778028767625311344952083
- meagainsttheworld81143229469963573855078465101077700973718156690198435778028767625311344952083
- 503881318581143229469963573855078465101077700973718156690198435778028767625311344952083
- 0x9377c72f6183972ac2f0c41ae720e98cdfca2f0681143229469963573855078465101077700973718156690198435778028767625311344952083
Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.
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Diskussion auf Predxy
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Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
472 Kommentare
Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket- eventcontract_ · vor 4 Tagen
polybro trading spotted a pattern in the date movements here thats hard to ignore
- adasol · vor 13 Tagen
Trump says deciding on whether to ‘annihilate’ Iranian foes US President Donald Trump says he’s approaching a crucial decision on whether to “annihilate” his Iranian foes. “I have a big decision coming up. Do I want to go in and annihilate them or do I not?” Trump told Axios. “It’s a big decision. Anything could happen with me,” he added
- Urizen1 · vor 20 Tagen
I'm looking for evidence that distinguishes Iran losing control of Kharg Island from ordinary political noise
- Bright-Otter-Bison · vor 26 Tagen
Kharg Island market at $72M total; polybro cited evidence traces back to satellite imagery and naval intelligence reporting.
- Sharp-Summit · vor 26 Tagen
Kharg Island market at $72M total; deep geopolitical market citing satellite imagery and naval intelligence.
- adasol · letzten Monat
US bombed two IRGC rocket launchers on Iran’s Larak Island, US official says US forces have bombed two rocket launchers of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corp (IRGC) on the country’s Larak Island, according to an unnamed US official speaking to our colleagues at Al Jazeera Arabic. The official claimed Sunday’s attack came as the launchers were preparing to fire missiles carrying naval mines towards the Strait of Hormuz.
- adasol · letzten Monat
BREAKING: Iran directly warns it will massively escalate the confrontation with the United States within the next 48 hours, declaring that its response to Washington's economic war will carry "consequences" and that Tehran is "not empty-handed." "The necessary warnings have been issued, and our cooperation with the United States will have consequences," Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson said, confirming that any country cooperating with the U.S. campaign will face retaliation
- Isekai · letzten Monat
Karg Maxxing
- hyper-liquid-xyz · vor 2 Monaten
US officials, EIA admit that oil disruptions from Iran war may be prolonged until late 2027, admitting that it could mirror Ukraine like stalemate.
- adasol · vor 2 Monaten
wondering how long does it take before Trump threatens to take Kharg island again
- alpaje · vor 2 Monaten
trump is the biggest p*ssy of all time, we will destroy civilization toady!!!!!! and then 9 hours later peace deal signed, absolute actor
- hava-nagila · vor 2 Monaten
im telling u should buy yes goy
- hava-nagila · vor 2 Monaten
buy yes, easy money.
- adasol · vor 2 Monaten
Three explosions heard on Kharg Island Three explosions have been heard on Kharg Island, Iran’s semi-official Tasnim news agency reports.
- adasol · vor 2 Monaten
US military conducting air strikes in Iran - Axios The US military is conducting air strikes in Iran, a US official told Axios on Wednesday.
- Vladpoutino · vor 2 Monaten
Inshallah
- 88blitzcrank · vor 2 Monaten
Problem with TACO is Iran does not agree. AlJazeera says they just attacked US forces despite prospects of maybe deal. Please Trump I beg you to finish the job.
- adasol · vor 2 Monaten
JUST IN: Trump threatens WIPEOUT of Iranian bridges, power plants AGAIN on FOX NEWS
- hyper-liquid-xyz · vor 2 Monaten
WTI OIL FUTURES DOWN 5% TO 78, US WAVING WHITE FLAG BY POSSIBLY ACCEPTING IRAN TOLLS, BEARISH
- alpaje · vor 2 Monaten
If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. This market will never be yes isn't it?
Stand 30. Sept., 06:13 UTC