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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No96 %

Yes4 %

Preis geprüft am 30. Sept., 05:14 UTC

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24h-Volumen15.484,4 $

7-Tage-Volumen86.141,7 $

30-Tage-Volumen229.058,8 $

Liquidität154.460,9 $

Spread0 %

Entscheidet sich1. Jan. 2027in 3 Monaten

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

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Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Crimea is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

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Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Polymarket	91 % No	1601,6 $	—	—	Offen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

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Halter696

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Kommentare534

Bestes Gebot 4 % · bester Brief 4 %

Größte Halter

ZnotluvuiSamez67011482977279466154940850972585572311207926803952896052113224614375102184687
GoriIIa72433435487515814631344400459815549868044734165082020724691045649454520502781
NeH72433435487515814631344400459815549868044734165082020724691045649454520502781
Joe-Biden67011482977279466154940850972585572311207926803952896052113224614375102184687
ololololololololo72433435487515814631344400459815549868044734165082020724691045649454520502781

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534 Kommentare

Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket

Kommentare gehören zum Ereignis der Plattform, nicht zu diesem Ausgang. Jede Ausprägung desselben Ereignisses teilt diesen Thread.

Bromley86 · vor 17 Tagen
They never had the codes, and couldn't have maintained them anyway. They'd have been better off stealing some of the tactical nukes, but Russia secured those.
abdoohl · vor 22 Tagen
Ukraine should just let it go. Just like the gave up their nukes, so dumb n naive giving away their nukes! Had they opted to keep their nukes it would have been way easier to keep Crimea too, just sayin
abdoohl · letzten Monat
Ukrainian astrologer prays to an icon of Zelensky —as well as to Bandera, Shukhevych, and other Nazis. She prays and performs bizarre rituals so that Ukraine gets more Patriot missiles and more "Flamingo" missiles to strike Russia.
xew4w3345 · letzten Monat
I live in Moscow and want it to be a part of Norway or Zwitzerland. What are we gonna do?
abdoohl · letzten Monat
prepare to lose your money!
Shrill-Racer · letzten Monat
They're not... learn english
Bromley86 · letzten Monat
This is what happens when 1 out of 11 gets through. And that was nearly a month ago.
DrOetker · letzten Monat
THEIR NOT GETTING THE KRIM. GIVE ME MY DOLLAR!!!!!!!!
12beduins · letzten Monat
Ukraine so worthless, its really quite remarkable how worthless it is!
12beduins · letzten Monat
WATCH: Military recruitment officers in Kropyvnytskyi detained a taxi driver while he was working, despite the fact that he had a pre-booked appointment. The passenger was thrown out onto the street.
pink.impala · letzten Monat
Is women's mobilization needed? If women have equal rights with men, then they should also have equal duties – equal duties to defend Ukraine, – says Ukrainian Armed Forces sergeant and squad leader Yulia Kobrynovych.
JimScott1 · letzten Monat
Intercepting almost all missiles? Lying to yourself. Six people died. You and pink impala were not among the six people? Damn!
JimScott1 · letzten Monat
Ukraine launched hundreds of drones across Russia on Sunday, killing at least six people in one of Kyiv's largest aerial attacks of the war.
abdoohl · letzten Monat
Russian air defenses are already intercepting almost all Ukrainian Flamingo cruise missiles, reports the German publication Focus. 🦩 🦩 🦩
JimScott1 · vor 2 Monaten
BREAKING: Ukraine has carried out a series of long-range strikes in Russia, hitting a military airfield and a rocket centre that supports the Russian Starlink-style satellite internet network. GREAT!!!
AlexB20 · vor 2 Monaten
Why do u support Zelenskyy then? People in Crimea wants to be a part of Russia
EnzoTheUser · vor 2 Monaten
i know, j3ws already have plans for it, including flooding my country with 3rd world tr@sh
pink.impala · vor 2 Monaten
prepare to have your country turned to landlocked rump state!
szivar.4 · vor 2 Monaten
Thy should create a market for June 2027 and Dec 2027
EnzoTheUser · vor 2 Monaten
try to play Ukr music in russia, prison right away

Stand 30. Sept., 05:56 UTC