PolymarketOffenTeil einer plattformübergreifenden Frage →

Will Matt Gaetz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

No99 %

Yes1 %

Preis geprüft am 2. Okt., 17:42 UTC

Handeln

Lege dein Land fest, um zu sehen, wo du handeln kannst.Land festlegen →

Öffnet die Plattform in einem neuen Tab, über Predxy.

24h-Volumen—

7-Tage-Volumen—

30-Tage-Volumen—

Liquidität25.111,5 $

Spread1 %

Entscheidet sich8. Nov. 2028in 2 Jahren

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter Verlauf

Ziehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen

Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

2 Plattformen führen sie

Zusammengefasste Frage anzeigen →

Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. Kalshi resolves based on Matt Gaetz accepting the nomination, while Polymarket uses the first formally nominated and accepting individual according to a consensus of official GOP sources; Polymarket also specifies that later replacement does not change resolution. Their settlement times differ, but this is not a material difference in the question.

KalshiÖffnen →
2028 Republican VP nominee: Will Matt Gaetz be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?
If Matt Gaetz accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
gelesen 2. Okt., 02:21 UTC
Polymarketdieser Markt
Will Matt Gaetz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
25 Halter · 1 Kommentare · gelesen 2. Okt., 14:08 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.

Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	95 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	95 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	96 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Glenn Youngkin be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Ron DeSantis be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Nikki Haley be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Greg Abbott be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	97 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Elon Musk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Katie Britt be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Mike Pence be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Tucker Carlson be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Kristi Noem be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Steve Bannon be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Tom Brady be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Ivanka Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	95 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Rand Paul be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	95 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Pete Hegseth be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	97 % No	—	—	—	Offen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Von der Plattform gelesen vor 4 Stunden

Halter25

Gehaltener Wert—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Offene Positionen—

Kommentare1

Größte Halter

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296622251647513067796024656001227710090414975331230256946883979463864414223252171
cry.eth280012102043263721932006822409302010511164324459753543949361609184996423315950
Haradwaith80012102043263721932006822409302010511164324459753543949361609184996423315950
GingerMcKenna80012102043263721932006822409302010511164324459753543949361609184996423315950
RadioCCOD80012102043263721932006822409302010511164324459753543949361609184996423315950

Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.

Letzte Trades

BUY100 %124,6 $vor 22 Tagen
SELL1 %0,1 $letzten Monat
BUY100 %31,9 $vor 2 Monaten
SELL0 %0 $vor 2 Monaten
BUY2 %0,6 $vor 3 Monaten
SELL1 %0,1 $vor 3 Monaten

Diskussion auf Predxy

Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.

Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.

Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.

1 Kommentar

Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket

Kommentare gehören zum Ereignis der Plattform, nicht zu diesem Ausgang. Jede Ausprägung desselben Ereignisses teilt diesen Thread.

LShibalba · vor 3 Monaten
Read an article that JD said VP role is important and he wouldn't try to be the potus nominee without more experience. Very wise of him!

Stand 2. Okt., 17:53 UTC