US strike on Cuba by December 31?
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Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.
Entscheidungsregeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen vorgesternBestes Gebot 84 % · bester Brief 86 %
Größte Halter
- Threadbare-Signal91347242536105459969213788769929618447748782724898414007495579710952664644740
- Jan77755782999195478978645683058282751482473275270795090145277907596121415418369349
- de5nuts91347242536105459969213788769929618447748782724898414007495579710952664644740
- Anjun55782999195478978645683058282751482473275270795090145277907596121415418369349
- StudentMoney55782999195478978645683058282751482473275270795090145277907596121415418369349
Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.
Letzte Trades
- BUY15 %100 $vorgestern
- BUY16 %16 $vorgestern
- SELL85 %19,5 $vorgestern
- SELL14 %43,8 $vorgestern
- SELL85 %0,1 $vorgestern
- BUY86 %1 $vorgestern
Diskussion auf Predxy
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Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
90 Kommentare
Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket- Second-Hand-Bend · vor 29 Tagen
Curious what you're watching here—would a confirmed U.S. strike on Cuban soil be the key trigger for you, or are there specific Cuba/Venezuela news catalysts that would change your view?
- Second-Hand-Bend · vor 29 Tagen
Jokes aside, I’d focus on official U.S. statements, naval/air deployments, and any Cuba/Venezuela escalation before moving this much on headlines.
- Second-Hand-Bend · vor 29 Tagen
What evidence or catalyst would change your view before Dec 31?
- phd-in-tradeology · letzten Monat
I would start by looking for your mom
- Second-Hand-Bend · letzten Monat
@phd-in-tradeology with Yes around 16¢ on this US strike-on-Cuba-by-Dec-31 market, what indicators would you watch for a real timeline shift—official warnings, naval movements, or Cuba/Venezuela escalation?
- beksaid072 · letzten Monat
is it real??
- Whole-Producer · vor 2 Monaten
Thing is Cuba wasnt even supposed to be communist it was forced by horrible embargo caused by the United States which led to a strong relationship with the soviet Union watch any fidel castro early interview and he said he was not communist.
- crystalball12 · vor 2 Monaten
if it were up to me I'd lift the blockade against Cuba but I seriously doubt my 50 dollar bet has any impact on that policy enacted by the US
- Whole-Producer · vor 2 Monaten
It should be 0% never pray on the downfall of a population thats suffering you will lose your bags and you should feel like a piece of shit for thinking that you are better then other humans. Haha fucking loserrrr
- Relaccsed · vor 2 Monaten
hell nawh.
- crystalball12 · vor 2 Monaten
24% is still too high lmao, it should be >10%
- Stable-Antecedent · vor 2 Monaten
Get in there Trump! Get those commie bastards, the cubans are dreaming for a change. Give them democracy you old fart
- Stable-Antecedent · vor 2 Monaten
you will sock him? That sounds pretty gay. Also its not Trumps fault there has been no free elections in Cuba since Castro-mafia took power.
- Relaccsed · vor 2 Monaten
Retard. Volume isn’t investment.
- Stunning-Cloves · vor 2 Monaten
dudes 2 million investiment only made him 14 k youre an idiot honestly. Gambling addict lowlife fuck.
- Stunning-Cloves · vor 2 Monaten
The united States is blocking essential electricity to hospitals and old people homes. A lot of people are dying. Bro if i ever find out who you are i will fucking sock you
- Stunning-Cloves · vor 2 Monaten
The united States is blocking essential electricity to hospitals and old people homes. A lot of people are dying. I cant wait to see marines getting ambushed and slaughtered by the guerillas down there.
- Relaccsed · vor 3 Monaten
Trump its not so funny anymore please attack
- Relaccsed · vor 3 Monaten
dear trumptito, please strike cuba to save my bags. Thank you.
- Relaccsed · vor 3 Monaten
its comin'
Stand 30. Sept., 00:47 UTC