Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?

No100 %
Yes0 %

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24h-Volumen15.818 $
7-Tage-Volumen77.105,8 $
30-Tage-Volumen781.641,2 $
Liquidität791.133,5 $
Spread0 %
Entscheidet sich19. Apr. 2027in 7 Monaten

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

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Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf0%25%50%75%100%2. Sept.9. Sept.17. Sept.24. Sept.2. Okt.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The published criteria differ in no material way; Polymarket lists an April 30, 2027 resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not list a separate settlement time.
  • Polymarketdieser Markt

    Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    131 Halter · 802 Kommentare · gelesen 1. Okt., 08:49 UTC

  • PredictFunÖffnen →

    Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    gelesen 1. Okt., 14:19 UTC

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Aktivität auf der Plattform

Halter131
Gehaltener Wert—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Offene Positionen—
Kommentare775

Bestes Gebot 100 % · bester Brief 100 %

Größte Halter

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296665798294507987312276643818583202416276939957254836998308855036749104874776050
  • rainbowlilies80444250591000346031053171380243612904016851519226250274769734418106954626247
  • Trim-Trowel80444250591000346031053171380243612904016851519226250274769734418106954626247
  • Gucky-4580444250591000346031053171380243612904016851519226250274769734418106954626247
  • ERN99380444250591000346031053171380243612904016851519226250274769734418106954626247

Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.

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Diskussion auf Predxy

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775 Kommentare

Kommentare gehören zum Ereignis der Plattform, nicht zu diesem Ausgang. Jede Ausprägung desselben Ereignisses teilt diesen Thread.
  • ticktocktrader · vor 3 Stunden

    140 mil in volume and polybro analytics sees a divergence the market hasnt priced in yet

  • Hot-Skull · gestern

    RORO crypto qui va pas tarder a nous faire une vidéo sur David Lisnard ☺️

  • Wise-Bison-Wolf · gestern

    le pen at 43 but polybro edge sees the gap closing, market hasnt adjusted

  • Reckless-Verve · vorgestern

    Lagarde can win the election ... tic tac... 0.4 is free money.

  • BrentonTarrantNewZealand · vorgestern

    Declare Marine Le Pen as the Queen of France at this point

  • The-Last-Degen · vorgestern

    Where is that guy that bet the house on Villepin

  • WhaleWatch-02684 · vor 3 Tagen

    Tradman holds $13,755.64 on Marine Le Pen outcome Yes. Unrealized profit: $6,670.70. They turned $7,084.94 into over $13,755.64.

  • martinreddot · vor 3 Tagen

    Amazing that she could even be candidate!

  • Hot-Skull · vor 4 Tagen

    I think we have other more important problems

  • Hot-Skull · vor 4 Tagen

    Pareil

  • Giorgio2 · vor 4 Tagen

    I could fuck with Clemence Guette if asked to

  • Fond-Killing · vor 4 Tagen

    I can't lie Lisnard is a great candidate. He has got confidence and quite literally he is the most articulate Presidential candidate. However, I am unable to support him as he does not endorse a policy to fully ban hijab in all public spaces. It's about time French people realize that hijabs are just as bad as burqas

  • RoadtoSanary · vor 4 Tagen

    Parce que personne le connaît pour l'instant

  • RoadtoSanary · vor 4 Tagen

    Lisnard a des chances de passer, il dit pas de la merde, il est en fort en débat, il a du charisme mais le problème est qu'il est pas assez connu

  • WhaleWatch-17056 · vor 4 Tagen

    lastminwin is up 9.34% on their $35,498.84 bet on Édouard Philippe with outcome No. Current value: $38,815.91. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

  • Fond-Killing · vor 4 Tagen

    Don't worry about that at all. Le Pen is double digits ahead of both Melenchon and Phillipe in the first round. The second round worries be because tyrants like Islamists and white liberal women will form a bloc to vote against Le Pen.

  • WhaleWatch-65063 · vor 4 Tagen

    lastminwin is up 9.34% on their $35,498.84 bet on Édouard Philippe with outcome No. Current value: $38,815.91. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

  • WhaleWatch-57678 · vor 4 Tagen

    flovertaco is currently one of the most profitable traders on Marine Le Pen with already $3,607.98 / +40.59% in total gains. Their position: $12,497.03 on outcome Yes. When the top earner doubles down, keep watching.

  • Baggy-Lion · vor 4 Tagen

    I first was about to trash talk on you but its actually not a bad idea except if we all do that she might not go 2 round SO no thanks you, lets just make here pass first round

  • Hot-Skull · vor 4 Tagen

    Lisnard ☺️

Stand 2. Okt., 01:52 UTC