PolymarketOffenTeil einer plattformübergreifenden Frage →

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

No98 %

Yes2 %

Preis geprüft am 30. Sept., 03:18 UTC

Handeln

Lege dein Land fest, um zu sehen, wo du handeln kannst.Land festlegen →

Öffnet die Plattform in einem neuen Tab, über Predxy.

24h-Volumen—

7-Tage-Volumen—

30-Tage-Volumen—

Liquidität4568,7 $

Spread1 %

Entscheidet sich31. Dez. 2026in 3 Monaten

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter Verlauf

Ziehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen

Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

2 Plattformen führen sie

Zusammengefasste Frage anzeigen →

Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The criteria are materially the same. Polymarket specifies early resolution upon qualifying data and a fallback based on available data if the full period’s data is delayed; PredictFun does not state these timing rules.

PredictFunÖffnen →
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
gelesen 30. Sept., 01:00 UTC
Polymarketdieser Markt
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
70 Halter · 3 Kommentare · gelesen 23. Sept., 11:04 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.

Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?	Polymarket	97 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027?	Polymarket	97 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	Polymarket	78 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?	Polymarket	98 % No	4326,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?	Polymarket	89 % No	533 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	Polymarket	91 % No	342,3 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?	Polymarket	94 % No	140 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?	Polymarket	94 % No	60 $	—	—	Offen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Von der Plattform gelesen vor 7 Tagen

Halter70

Gehaltener Wert—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Offene Positionen—

Kommentare3

Bestes Gebot 2 % · bester Brief 3 %

Größte Halter

HDGB84389491616513714823666614754053572948282834121525668471568267103087673737349
0xee6712ea09d6a9c86793bb6dde10ea59040e67a622843583070085866499779544111634722619527116140422802430947064336485548248817
Dr.PNL22843583070085866499779544111634722619527116140422802430947064336485548248817
GuyFromTinder22843583070085866499779544111634722619527116140422802430947064336485548248817
xixihaha00984389491616513714823666614754053572948282834121525668471568267103087673737349

Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.

Letzte Trades

SELL2 %1,5 $vor 11 Tagen
SELL98 %49 $vor 13 Tagen
SELL2 %0,1 $vor 13 Tagen
SELL2 %1 $vor 14 Tagen
SELL2 %1 $vor 14 Tagen
SELL2 %0,9 $vor 15 Tagen

Diskussion auf Predxy

Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.

Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.

Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.

3 Kommentare

Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket

Kommentare gehören zum Ereignis der Plattform, nicht zu diesem Ausgang. Jede Ausprägung desselben Ereignisses teilt diesen Thread.

GHOST4472 · vor 7 Monaten
There will be a collapse because there is no stagnation in the Middle East
studmuffin6969 · vor 7 Monaten
hello
Edmand · vor 8 Monaten
Once the consumer finally taps out in Q3 2026, the Fed will have to panic-cut back toward 2.5%.

Stand 30. Sept., 03:46 UTC