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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?

No98 %

Yes2 %

Preis geprüft am 30. Sept., 12:38 UTC

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24h-Volumen4326,6 $

7-Tage-Volumen4399,4 $

30-Tage-Volumen4399,4 $

Liquidität9015,4 $

Spread2 %

Entscheidet sich31. Dez. 2026in 3 Monaten

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter Verlauf

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Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The venues differ only in settlement mechanics: Polymarket specifies early resolution upon qualifying data and a 14-day fallback for incomplete data, while PredictFun does not publish those additional timing rules. These do not materially change the underlying question.

PredictFunÖffnen →
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
gelesen 30. Sept., 08:05 UTC
Polymarketdieser Markt
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
26 Halter · 3 Kommentare · gelesen 29. Sept., 20:44 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.

Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	Polymarket	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?	Polymarket	96 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027?	Polymarket	97 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	Polymarket	78 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?	Polymarket	89 % No	433 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	Polymarket	90 % No	153,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?	Polymarket	94 % No	60 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?	Polymarket	94 % No	20 $	—	—	Offen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Von der Plattform gelesen vor 16 Stunden

Halter26

Gehaltener Wert—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Offene Positionen—

Kommentare3

Bestes Gebot 97 % · bester Brief 99 %

Größte Halter

HDGB22546985065477684818810789793847501035824084989865746198974631283749451856194
Digital-Boy52157149300174818059363426658218018250717387200396727951520298136135654337625
Dr.PNL52157149300174818059363426658218018250717387200396727951520298136135654337625
pppnn52157149300174818059363426658218018250717387200396727951520298136135654337625
AJSV52157149300174818059363426658218018250717387200396727951520298136135654337625

Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.

Letzte Trades

SELL1 %0,5 $vor 21 Stunden
SELL1 %0,5 $vor 21 Stunden
SELL1 %0,5 $vor 21 Stunden
SELL1 %2,2 $vor 21 Stunden
SELL1 %0,5 $vor 21 Stunden
SELL1 %7 $vor 21 Stunden

Diskussion auf Predxy

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3 Kommentare

Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket

Kommentare gehören zum Ereignis der Plattform, nicht zu diesem Ausgang. Jede Ausprägung desselben Ereignisses teilt diesen Thread.

GHOST4472 · vor 7 Monaten
There will be a collapse because there is no stagnation in the Middle East
studmuffin6969 · vor 7 Monaten
hello
Edmand · vor 9 Monaten
Once the consumer finally taps out in Q3 2026, the Fed will have to panic-cut back toward 2.5%.

Stand 30. Sept., 13:05 UTC