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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

No89 %

Yes11 %

Preis geprüft am 30. Sept., 04:09 UTC

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24h-Volumen8557 $

7-Tage-Volumen24.961,4 $

30-Tage-Volumen36.697,2 $

Liquidität2190,5 $

Spread1 %

Entscheidet sich1. Jan. 2027in 3 Monaten

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter Verlauf

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Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. Polymarket specifies early resolution and a fallback if complete data is unavailable, while PredictFun does not publish those mechanics; Polymarket also specifies a settlement timestamp and PredictFun does not. These differences do not materially change the event being measured.

Polymarketdieser Markt
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
125 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 29. Sept., 20:44 UTC
PredictFunÖffnen →
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
gelesen 30. Sept., 01:01 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.

Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?	Polymarket	100 % Yes	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Polymarket	55 % No	2243,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Polymarket	100 % Yes	1835,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?	Polymarket	90 % Yes	1654,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Polymarket	80 % No	1633,3 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Polymarket	64 % Yes	1138,4 $	—	—	Offen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Von der Plattform gelesen vor 8 Stunden

Halter125

Gehaltener Wert—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Offene Positionen—

Kommentare0

Bestes Gebot 13 % · bester Brief 15 %

Größte Halter

0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f25145146369041790876198635366580415867517047049508141037239379654179930940776529
0xff7ca9cd180d33119e653e3eb50555a3e2ccb23333659372827600316727835785655881220724422400527200618608139639039116681963297
XAE12Archangel45146369041790876198635366580415867517047049508141037239379654179930940776529
OverlookHotel33659372827600316727835785655881220724422400527200618608139639039116681963297
Bobggg33659372827600316727835785655881220724422400527200618608139639039116681963297

Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.

Letzte Trades

BUY84 %17,9 $vor 8 Stunden
SELL17 %82 $vor 8 Stunden
SELL84 %7,5 $vor 8 Stunden
SELL14 %2,3 $vor 9 Stunden
BUY17 %48,9 $vor 10 Stunden
SELL14 %1,4 $vor 10 Stunden

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Stand 30. Sept., 04:31 UTC