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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

No76 %

Yes24 %

Preis geprüft am 30. Sept., 06:40 UTC

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24h-Volumen1633,3 $

7-Tage-Volumen19.477,2 $

30-Tage-Volumen37.895,5 $

Liquidität6352,1 $

Spread5 %

Entscheidet sich1. Jan. 2027in 3 Monaten

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

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Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. PredictFun does not publish a separate resolution timestamp, while Polymarket specifies resolution by January 1, 2027 and includes early-resolution and incomplete-data procedures. These are settlement mechanics rather than differences in the underlying question.

PredictFunÖffnen →
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
gelesen 30. Sept., 00:58 UTC
Polymarketdieser Markt
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
101 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 29. Sept., 20:29 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.

Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?	Polymarket	100 % Yes	—	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	Polymarket	89 % No	8557 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Polymarket	56 % No	2243,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Polymarket	100 % Yes	1835,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?	Polymarket	87 % Yes	1654,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Polymarket	63 % Yes	1138,4 $	—	—	Offen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Von der Plattform gelesen vor 11 Stunden

Halter101

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Bestes Gebot 21 % · bester Brief 37 %

Größte Halter

HDGB19807745274820218436318664068726385243490453006769046292026430944247457642518
ArmageddonRewardsBilly21131496477873579455903585507781251181064860444928699705256348049912729827076
0xd509c5b65d219997c05ec4f788fceb7b40d6fc7019807745274820218436318664068726385243490453006769046292026430944247457642518
Ondra19807745274820218436318664068726385243490453006769046292026430944247457642518
XAE12Archangel21131496477873579455903585507781251181064860444928699705256348049912729827076

Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.

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Stand 30. Sept., 07:17 UTC