Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Flávio Bolsonaro

Yes56 %
No44 %

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Entscheidet sich11. Okt. 2026in 8 Tagen

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Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf0%25%50%75%100%2. Okt., 08:202. Okt., 10:232. Okt., 12:272. Okt., 14:31

In diesem Zeitraum liegen vor dem 2. Okt. keine aufgezeichneten Daten vor.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve on whether Flávio Bolsonaro wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election scheduled to begin on October 4, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press (AP). This market will resolve to YES if AP reports Flávio Bolsonaro as the winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. Gemini resolves based on AP reporting, while Polymarket uses credible-reporting consensus and ultimately Brazil’s TSE results, and explicitly includes any second round. They also publish different resolution timing and contingency rules.
  • Geminidieser Markt

    Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Flávio Bolsonaro

    This market will resolve on whether Flávio Bolsonaro wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election scheduled to begin on October 4, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press (AP). This market will resolve to YES if AP reports Flávio Bolsonaro as the winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

    gelesen 2. Okt., 14:31 UTC

  • PolymarketÖffnen →

    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

    4828 Halter · 21.402 Kommentare · gelesen 1. Okt., 14:52 UTC

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