Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 30?
Preis geprüft am
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter VerlaufZiehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen
Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.
Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.
Entscheidungsregeln
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30? | Polymarket | 99 % Yes | Offen |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 30? | Polymarket | 99 % No | Offen |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen in dieser MinuteDiskussion auf Predxy
Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.
Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
Stand 30. Sept., 03:40 UTC