PolymarketOffen

OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?

Yes77 %
No24 %

Preis geprüft am

Handeln
Lege dein Land fest, um zu sehen, wo du handeln kannst.Land festlegen →
Öffnet die Plattform in einem neuen Tab, über Predxy.
24h-Volumen121 $
7-Tage-Volumen2820,3 $
30-Tage-Volumen2820,3 $
Liquidität1356,9 $
Spread5 %
Entscheidet sich1. Nov. 2026nächsten Monat

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Ziehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen

Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf0%25%50%75%100%27. Sept.28. Sept.29. Sept.30. Sept.30. Sept.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

On September 25, 2026, amid reports that its AI agents had probed U.S. government websites, including those of the Census Bureau and Education Department, OpenAI disclosed a pause in training, evaluation, and inference involving tool use for its most capable models. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it has resumed training covered by the pause announced on September 25, 2026, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resuming training means resuming, in part or in full, training suspended under the pause announced on September 25, 2026, including beginning a fresh training run in place of a suspended run. A qualifying announcement must be made through OpenAI's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. The totality of the announcement and its surrounding context must clearly establish that training covered by the pause announced on September 25 has resumed, even if the announcement does not name the incident or specify the date the pause was announced. Statements that training is permitted, planned, or expected to restart do not by themselves qualify. Training that was not subject to the pause announced on September 25, 2026, does not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the announcement is later modified or withdrawn, or training is subsequently paused again. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

MarktPlattformPreisStatus
OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026?Polymarket63 % NoOffen
OpenAI resumes training by October 10, 2026?Polymarket76 % NoOffen
OpenAI resumes training by October 5, 2026?Polymarket80 % NoOffen
OpenAI resumes training by September 30, 2026?Polymarket95 % NoOffen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Halter—
Gehaltener Wert—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Offene Positionen—
Kommentare0

Diskussion auf Predxy

Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.

Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.

Stand 30. Sept., 19:53 UTC