Will above 46% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

If the share of voters who approve of Donald Trump's job performance as president in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 46%, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the sum of the percentages of all voters shown for "Strongly approve" and "Somewhat approve" on the question asking voters' opinion of Donald Trump as president in the national U.S. House exit poll. If those two figures are not shown separately, the value is the percentage of all voters shown for "Approve" on that question. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.