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Will the Democratic Party sweep control of both the U.S. House and Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes63 %
No38 %

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Entscheidungsregeln

### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** The outcome will be determined after Market Close, once the 2026 US Midterm Elections results are officially confirmed by the market resolution sources. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections. - Resolves to "Yes" for the outcome that matches the party (or parties) that control the House of Representatives and the Senate following the election. - Resolves to "No" for all other outcomes. - A party will be considered to have "control" of the House of Representatives if it wins a majority of voting seats. - A party will be considered to have "control" of the Senate if it holds more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President. - A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican Parties will be considered a member of whichever party they most recently expressed intent to caucus with at the time the elections are conclusively called. - If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the U.S. House selected following the 2026 midterm elections. - If control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the U.S. Senate selected following the 2026 midterm elections. - If the result of the election does not correspond to any of the listed outcomes, this market will resolve to "Other". ### **Resolution Details:** - The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. - If the three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races, this market will resolve based on the official certification of election results. ### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:** - The 2026 U.S. midterm elections are not held. - Determining control of Congress becomes impossible due to extraordinary circumstances preventing certification or recognition of results. - Myriad Markets undergoes a major technical or contractual change requiring cancellation of active markets. If canceled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation.

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Stand 29. Sept., 22:57 UTC