Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in September?
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Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
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Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.
Entscheidungsregeln
### **Market Details:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date through September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Time:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. ### **Market Targets:** - This event contains multiple independent S&P 500 (SPY) price outcomes. - Each outcome resolves independently as either “**Yes**” or “**No**”. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Outcomes resolve to **“Yes”** if any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final Low price equal to or below the respective outcome at any point during the Market Period. - Outcomes resolve to **“No”** if not. ### **Resolution Details:** - Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which SPY trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered; pre-market and after-hours prices do not qualify. - Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. - In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY during the Market Period, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth, with the listed price adjusted proportionally. - If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange will be used instead. - **Newly Added Outcomes:** Any outcome added after the event is first published—including outcomes with the same price target as previously resolved outcomes—will only consider price action occurring after that outcome is published and before the Market Close. Earlier price action, including any price movement that resolved a previous outcome with the same value, will not be considered. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The Pyth price feed for SPY is suspended or becomes unreliable, with no fallback source available. - Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking during the Market Period. If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.
Quellehttps://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Aktivität auf der Plattform
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Stand 29. Sept., 21:52 UTC