Bank of Japan Decision in October: No change

Yes77 %
No23 %

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Entscheidet sich30. Okt. 2026nächsten Monat

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

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Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf0%25%50%75%100%14. Sept.18. Sept.22. Sept.26. Sept.29. Sept.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 ( https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm ). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan ( https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm ), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

Zusammengefasste Frage anzeigen →
Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The published resolution criteria are materially identical, including the BOJ source, possible use of credible reporting, rounding rule, and fallback timing.
  • PolymarketÖffnen →

    No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

    The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    82 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 26. Sept., 17:48 UTC

  • Limitlessdieser Markt

    Bank of Japan Decision in October: No change

    The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 ( https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm ). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan ( https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm ), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    0 Halter · gelesen 29. Sept., 18:05 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

MarktPlattformPreisStatus
Bank of Japan Decision in October: 50+ bps decreaseLimitless99 % NoOffen
Bank of Japan Decision in October: 25 bps decreaseLimitless99 % NoOffen
Bank of Japan Decision in October: 25 bps increaseLimitless77 % NoOffen
Bank of Japan Decision in October: 50+ bps increaseLimitless99 % NoOffen

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Stand 29. Sept., 22:04 UTC