Will Mary Miller receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election?
Preis geprüft am
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter VerlaufZiehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen
Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.
Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.
Entscheidungsregeln
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mary Miller in the 2026 IL-15 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mary Miller ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Miller receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election? | Kalshi | 63 % No | Offen |
| Will Mary Miller receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election? | Kalshi | 77 % No | Offen |
| Will Mary Miller receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election? | Kalshi | 94 % No | Offen |
| Will Mary Miller receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election? | Kalshi | 87 % No | Offen |
| Will Mary Miller receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election? | Kalshi | 81 % At least 62% | Offen |
| Will Mary Miller receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election? | Kalshi | 90 % At least 60% | Offen |
| Will Mary Miller receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election? | Kalshi | 53 % At least 66% | Offen |
| IL-15 House election: Mary Miller vote percent: Will Mary Miller receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election? | Kalshi | 96 % At least 58% | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen in dieser MinuteDiskussion auf Predxy
Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.
Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
Stand 1. Okt., 23:24 UTC