How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?: Will Democrats win fewer than 16 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York? Below 16

If Democrats win below 16 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details. Where a candidate appears on more than one ballot line, all of their lines are aggregated into that candidate's own total.

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  How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?: Will Democrats win fewer than 16 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York? Below 16

  If Democrats win below 16 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details. Where a candidate appears on more than one ballot line, all of their lines are aggregated into that candidate's own total.

  gelesen 30. Sept., 10:42 UTC

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  Will Democrats win fewer than 16 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?

  This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election. All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.