Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
Preis geprüft am
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter VerlaufZiehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen
Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.
Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.
Entscheidungsregeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 78 % No | Offen |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 77 % No | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen vor 8 StundenBestes Gebot 0 % · bester Brief 2 %
Größte Halter
- BrownBees20938766348995551446374422094070080811874117356932039827171998454216317227441
- Waterfall93368713572891128676351513154816755280372852630460948996889541137555600218700
- rsam599093368713572891128676351513154816755280372852630460948996889541137555600218700
- Spherical-Doc93368713572891128676351513154816755280372852630460948996889541137555600218700
- Milksheen93368713572891128676351513154816755280372852630460948996889541137555600218700
Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.
Letzte Trades
- SELL99 %5,4 $vor 10 Stunden
- BUY100 %20 $vor 10 Stunden
- BUY97 %149,1 $vor 11 Stunden
- BUY97 %183,4 $vor 11 Stunden
- BUY96 %21,2 $vor 11 Stunden
- BUY96 %96,3 $vor 11 Stunden
Diskussion auf Predxy
Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.
Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
Stand 30. Sept., 14:26 UTC