Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
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Entscheidungsregeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | Polymarket | 84 % No | Offen |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | Polymarket | 58 % No | Offen |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? | Polymarket | 66 % Yes | Offen |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 89 % No | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen vor 8 TagenBestes Gebot 81 % · bester Brief 82 %
Größte Halter
- Contentious-Dinnerdate74989412290282424785641548034226561759737333823859293272015453303249060892790
- balthazar9889507308429035625291781429850448661734268241881449316488881149481104225498
- whispercatalyst9889507308429035625291781429850448661734268241881449316488881149481104225498
- Active-Broad9889507308429035625291781429850448661734268241881449316488881149481104225498
- mewmew174989412290282424785641548034226561759737333823859293272015453303249060892790
Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.
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Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
12 Kommentare
Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket- mvaulina57 · vor 29 Tagen
any rumors?
- Harmful-Gosling · vor 2 Monaten
any reference?
- dabitron · vor 2 Monaten
gemini 3.5 pro leaked in lmarena
- lamyk · vor 2 Monaten
ncw buy my shares please or sell into my order, 58c y, 42c n, both ok. i need this.
- Klutzy-Comma · vor 3 Monaten
gemini pro is realeseing on july 24 lol
- Bogus-Killing · vor 3 Monaten
you are not a leaker sonion its being delayed because they had to completely redo the ground work. being it was trained on an older model. more modern leaks show it mogs fable
- stray23 · vor 3 Monaten
I believe you`re wrong. See the
- Mikelious · vor 3 Monaten
Leaker: "3.5 pro is delayed because of the current "model threat" situation, or because internal 3.5 pro still doesn't match or beat 5.6 sol or fable 5"
- Mikelious · vor 3 Monaten
Gemini is in worst place out of the other two (GPT and Claude). Don't lose your money kids their model will probably only release on August.
- Natural-Anchovy · vor 3 Monaten
Leaks talking about a delayed release cause the model sucks
- tbkboss · vor 3 Monaten
Google ai ppl leaving maybe? Idk
- iForgor · vor 3 Monaten
What happened?
Stand 29. Sept., 22:59 UTC