Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?
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Entscheidungsregeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 97 % No | Offen |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 88 % No | Offen |
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15 Kommentare
Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket- WhaleWatch-78942 · vor 24 Tagen
0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 has a $12,514.07 position on December 31, 2026 with outcome No. They're already up $629.20 on this trade through holding their position. When someone's betting big and winning, it's worth paying attention.
- yen4u · vor 24 Tagen
I just lost all my money FUCK!!!!!
- lamyk · vor 24 Tagen
idiot
- lamyk · vor 24 Tagen
why you being a negative nancy? it will.
- werfjirvgieh · vor 24 Tagen
Nope
- JillBiden · vor 24 Tagen
CMI has a minimum 2-year review period before a solution can even be considered for the prize, and the only precedent took ~7 years from proof to award, 2026 has zero chance.
- Jesetrading · vor 24 Tagen
🤫🤫🤫🤫
- Gregarious-Legislation · vor 24 Tagen
Why would you hold this shit for 2 years for 20%
- yen4u · vor 24 Tagen
Navier strokin my dick right now I got lotion on my dick
- lamyk · vor 24 Tagen
navier stokes solution published EOW
- svuxvwhxbxb · vor 27 Tagen
2028 YES at 51% seems too high. CMI requires a qualifying publication, then at least 2 years of examination and general acceptance before it even begins detailed consideration. After that, there is still a separate expert committee review. A new 2026 proof could be completely correct and still easily miss the 2028 deadline.
- Snow-White · vor 27 Tagen
retard "h-numbers" simply LOVES buying bonds that are not bonds, what a stupid piece of shit
- Snow-White · vor 27 Tagen
H-NUMBERS is one of the stupidest creatures to ever touch this site,. Needs to be locked up next to his Minnesota judge friend, on account of his IMBECILITY.
- Snow-White · vor 27 Tagen
oh, this is where the brain-dead dumbfuq who thought they would NEVER convict the Minnesota judge hangs out to distort markets and stupidly bonds out nonbonds, the CRETIN H-NUMBERS
- Cruel-Swine · vor 2 Monaten
The thing is that even if it's solved, CMI has a rule of 2 years wait for "accepting" a proof. So that's actually a tricky one.
Stand 2. Okt., 11:40 UTC