Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
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Entscheidungsregeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 77 % No | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen vor 3 TagenBestes Gebot 5 % · bester Brief 7 %
Größte Halter
- HOD-Capital31627048520492227354616069874124458767757243686332730237616510640600462926383
- slobber31627048520492227354616069874124458767757243686332730237616510640600462926383
- melonmanm37064221817179838225957455025143891294172126736355626367799841115771049178138
- Kevlar-bob31627048520492227354616069874124458767757243686332730237616510640600462926383
- JPLP37064221817179838225957455025143891294172126736355626367799841115771049178138
Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.
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Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
15 Kommentare
Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket- gurenus · vor 4 Monaten
Can we have market for 31 December?
- HughMan · vor 5 Monaten
If Andy burnham doesn’t win the bi election, this market will go up
- franciis · vor 6 Monaten
You're talking about Reform right?
- xlefgerx · vor 6 Monaten
They are authoritarian. They will never leave.
- AndyBurnham · vor 7 Monaten
-$86.79
- jakethedog12 · vor 10 Monaten
Keir Starmer will resign by May 2026 (Local Elections), as other PMs have resigned due to poor local election results. However, a general election would NOT be held if he resigned, any Labour MP who takes over will see a boost in the polls - since they're not Starmer
- Keir-Starmer · vor 11 Monaten
A party never voluntarily gives up power in the UK until they're forced to - which would make it 2029.
- AskarisGamba · vor 11 Monaten
That assumes Starmers backbenchers dont fall out of line. If they see the writing on the wall, or an opportunity to save their seats away from Starmer's labour, they could paralyse government, eventually forcing a new GE.
- YourMumsFundManager · letztes Jahr
Flaw is that it’s not proportionate representation like the Dutch politics. Westminster model is long out dated and favour the 2 traditional parties. However, they won’t be so keen themselves on changing it 🤣
- YourMumsFundManager · letztes Jahr
Yeah because petitions amount to much. You’ve got to know the electoral system. They only get debated and then rejected the same day unless there’s a majority approval. Why would Labour who has the majority want to call an election and then Labour MPs lose their jobs ? Bit of rationality and knowledge required here.
- anonym · letztes Jahr
[link removed].uk/news/petition-to-call-an-immediate-general-election-passes-100000-signatures-500062 THis one
- anonym · letztes Jahr
220k signed a petition calling for an immediate GE.
- ribbet · vor 2 Jahren
literally the same in any westminister system i dont see what the “flaw” is
- Cartertsu · vor 2 Jahren
They can continue to rule for the next 5 years regardless of anything that happens to the UK
- Cartertsu · vor 2 Jahren
UK democracy is a flaw democracy. I don’t think anyone is able to overthrow the ruling party given that they (the labor party) are the majority in the parliament
Stand 30. Sept., 03:12 UTC