Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Preis geprüft am
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter VerlaufZiehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen
Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.
Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.
Entscheidungsregeln
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Polymarket | 77 % Yes | Offen |
| Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Polymarket | 83 % No | Offen |
| Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Polymarket | 96 % No | Offen |
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Polymarket | 98 % No | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen vor 9 StundenGrößte Halter
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296672127296036342247710135648291532177229702091914329061032616291282867828212651
- vinii423364479193680239850423411416135854096787857763853938539897635809886919056
- 0xec6b3bbda1551a1ec2fca79559720cb7f57797df423364479193680239850423411416135854096787857763853938539897635809886919056
- Basic-World423364479193680239850423411416135854096787857763853938539897635809886919056
- LornaPredicts423364479193680239850423411416135854096787857763853938539897635809886919056
Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.
Letzte Trades
- SELL88 %27,2 $vor 7 Tagen
- BUY99 %8,9 $vor 9 Tagen
- BUY99 %9,9 $vor 9 Tagen
- SELL98 %1 $vor 12 Tagen
- BUY99 %1 $vor 12 Tagen
- BUY1 %0,7 $vor 14 Tagen
Diskussion auf Predxy
Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.
Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
7 Kommentare
Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket- anonym · vor 2 Monaten
True
- catalanpaths · vor 2 Monaten
Also still too far out to get a clear overall picture imo
- catalanpaths · vor 2 Monaten
PAN is frontrunner I agree, I'm just not sure by how much. I think PVEM/Morena being a coalition might actually be more beneficial then detrimental. Last election PAN won ~17.6% of votes compared to PVEM's ~8.7%, but PVEM still ended up with more seats. But again, I'm not too knowledgable on elections and could be completely wrong
- anonym · vor 2 Monaten
Who do you think would be #2? PVEM is fighting Morena.
- catalanpaths · vor 2 Monaten
lol maybe youre right im wrong, we'll see
- anonym · vor 2 Monaten
Thank you
- catalanpaths · vor 2 Monaten
Number of Seats != Number of Votes
Stand 1. Okt., 13:55 UTC