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Ebola pandemic in 2026?

No97 %

Yes3 %

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Entscheidet sich1. Jan. 2027in 3 Monaten

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Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Ebola pandemic in 2026?: New pandemic by 2026? In Dec 31, 2026
If Ebola becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
gelesen 30. Sept., 21:21 UTC
Polymarketdieser Markt
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
425 Halter · 11 Kommentare · gelesen 30. Sept., 18:39 UTC

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11 Kommentare

Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket

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ToNNEllo · vor 10 Tagen
NONONO
ToNNEllo · vor 14 Tagen
no? lol
pokjkj · vor 2 Monaten
Stop it right now, that's way too scary!😀😀😀😀
kdnckszp · vor 3 Monaten
no
Davidbill · vor 4 Monaten
lol
wi2.mk · vor 4 Monaten
why was there a spike recently ?
Downright-Commuter · vor 4 Monaten
Devil's advocate - there's plenty of middle-ground scenarios where ebola has mutated or a new variant becomes prevalent with a higher R0, perhaps as high as HIV, but remains well below a world-ending threshold (as HIV has). No buyers can get better interest rates on other markets though.
MtnMark · vor 4 Monaten
Former CDC director on Ebola outbreak: ‘I suspect this is going to become a very significant pandemic’ - The Hill
MtnMark · vor 4 Monaten
Former CDC director on Ebola outbreak: ‘I suspect this is going to become a very significant pandemic’- The Hill[link removed]
DonationsReceiver · vor 4 Monaten
JUST IN: Former CDC director warns Ebola outbreak may escalate into a major global pandemic - The Hill
Striking-Jackfruit · vor 5 Monaten
This is free money. Why do people even bet on this? In the ~0.0001% off-chance of it actually happening, your money will be worthless anyways.

Stand 1. Okt., 23:05 UTC