Will Semir Efendić be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
Preis geprüft am
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter VerlaufZiehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen
Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.
Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.
Entscheidungsregeln
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | Polymarket | 83 % No | Offen |
| Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | Polymarket | 82 % Yes | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen in dieser MinuteDiskussion auf Predxy
Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.
Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
6 Kommentare
Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket- petersohn · vor 12 Tagen
Thank you for coming back to answer me. Gonna be buying Denis today
- GoldenLilies · vor 12 Tagen
According to a Klix poll in which around 15,000 people have voted, Denis leads with 66% of the votes, while Bakir has 34%.
- petersohn · vor 22 Tagen
Thanks
- GoldenLilies · vor 22 Tagen
Not yet. Unofficially, Denis is in a considerable lead, judging by what people and experts are saying.
- petersohn · vor 23 Tagen
Has polling begun?
- GoldenLilies · vor 3 Monaten
We should expect real price discovery to happen in September once polling, debates, and campaign activity begin. Until then, prices are easily moved by small capital and do not reflect actual voter sentiment.
Stand 29. Sept., 23:03 UTC