Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

No100 %
Yes0 %

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Liquidität27.625,7 $
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Entscheidet sich28. Okt. 2026in 28 Tagen

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Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page). The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. Otherwise: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. - If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

Zusammengefasste Frage anzeigen →
Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The published resolution criteria differ in no material way; the resolvesAt timestamps differ only because the venues use different nominal settlement times (October 27 versus October 28).
  • Polymarketdieser Markt

    Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

    Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page). The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. Otherwise: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. - If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.

    72 Halter · 13 Kommentare · gelesen 25. Sept., 12:08 UTC

  • LimitlessÖffnen →

    Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Shas

    Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) ( https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page ). The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. Otherwise: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. - If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.

    0 Halter · gelesen 29. Sept., 21:30 UTC

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Aktivität auf der Plattform

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Kommentare14

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14 Kommentare

Kommentare gehören zum Ereignis der Plattform, nicht zu diesem Ausgang. Jede Ausprägung desselben Ereignisses teilt diesen Thread.
  • Fluffy-Pinkie · vor 13 Tagen

    the time for a merger is over for this election!

  • ydxistheking · vor 24 Tagen

    If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party

  • ydxistheking · vor 24 Tagen

    In the past couple days there is a renewed push for Naftali Bennet and Gadi Eisenkots Yashar party to merge. Yashar is currently leading the market with 55% to be the largest party in the election. However, I went to read the rules to see how polymarket would resolve the market if Bennet ends up joining the Yashar list. Turns out, if any party ends up running on a joint list with Together, together wins even if Yashar makes up the large majority of the new party. If this merger does end up happening, the new list will easily be the largest party

  • TheJewishHammer · vor 26 Tagen

    וואלה אחי, לא יודע מה להגיד לך. מקווה מאוד שאתה צודק. אבל אני בספק.

  • TheJewishHammer · vor 26 Tagen

    המצב של הליכוד לא הכי טוב. כולם נוגסים המנדטים של הליכוד. לדעתי, המחיר על הליכוד גבוה מידי כרגע. מאמין שבסוף, הליכוד תהיה המפלגה הכי גדולה. אייזנקוט מתחזק, על חשבון בנט. הליכוד מאבד מנדטים לבן גביר, סמוטזהות ולוינטר. המצב לא פשוט. בוא נראה מה יהיה עם השיריונים של ביבי. אם לא יביא חיזוק משמעותי, ייתכן שאייזנקוט יעבור אל הליכוד במנדטים

  • Hummershark · vor 27 Tagen

    זה גם מה שאני לא מבין

  • Hummershark · vor 27 Tagen

    מה נסגר עם הליכוד ? לא יתכן שהליכוד לא יוביל בראש רשימת המפלגות , כנראה בגלל פיצול של מפלגות לווין ?

  • Illiterate-Zinc · vor 28 Tagen

    נראה לי פיספסת קצת את הקונספט של האתר, אחי

  • orelR34 · letzten Monat

    Everyone knows that on election day people will simply vote for Likud. The polls are always wrong.

  • TheJewishHammer · vor 3 Monaten

    תלוי באיזה ערוץ צופים. אני מסכים איתך

  • Glicha · vor 3 Monaten

    כסף על הריצפה, ליכוד ב8-10 מנדטים יותר מישר

  • ydxistheking · vor 3 Monaten

    ישר יותר מדי

  • Kingsaka · vor 4 Monaten

    מה זה משנה אחי

  • ophphirmatatu · vor 4 Monaten

    this market is just useless, the party with the most seats means basically nothing in israel

Stand 29. Sept., 23:09 UTC