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Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No92 %

Yes8 %

Preis geprüft am 30. Sept., 09:14 UTC

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24h-Volumen30 $

7-Tage-Volumen30 $

30-Tage-Volumen2958,2 $

Liquidität1521,1 $

Spread1 %

Entscheidet sich1. Jan. 2027in 3 Monaten

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

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Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The criteria differ in no material way. Polymarket specifies a resolution timestamp of January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC, while PredictFun does not specify one; both use the same leaderboard and fallback availability rules.

PredictFunÖffnen →
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-04-02T22:40:39.495443986Z
gelesen 30. Sept., 05:05 UTC
Polymarketdieser Markt
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
47 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 28. Sept., 16:37 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.

Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	51 % No	446 $	—	—	Offen

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wavesinthesky45618799395155942424234007557643669012750085368468978237357699778964383322890
Rr5597356317564879150993537472039086232751398548743665524636886229253791367066754
molodoyy97356317564879150993537472039086232751398548743665524636886229253791367066754
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mewmew197356317564879150993537472039086232751398548743665524636886229253791367066754

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Stand 30. Sept., 09:33 UTC