PolymarketOffenTeil einer plattformübergreifenden Frage →

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Yes71 %

No29 %

Preis geprüft am 29. Sept., 23:43 UTC

Handeln

Lege dein Land fest, um zu sehen, wo du handeln kannst.Land festlegen →

Öffnet die Plattform in einem neuen Tab, über Predxy.

24h-Volumen1322,3 $

7-Tage-Volumen5068,1 $

30-Tage-Volumen26.500,9 $

Liquidität6162 $

Spread3 %

Entscheidet sich1. Jan. 2027in 3 Monaten

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter Verlauf

Ziehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen

Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

2 Plattformen führen sie

Zusammengefasste Frage anzeigen →

Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The published resolution criteria and source language are identical. Polymarket specifies a settlement timestamp of January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC, while PredictFun lists no settlement timestamp; this is merely a settlement-time presentation difference.

PredictFunÖffnen →
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
gelesen 29. Sept., 21:49 UTC
Polymarketdieser Markt
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
361 Halter · 14 Kommentare · gelesen 29. Sept., 22:58 UTC

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Von der Plattform gelesen vor 1 Stunde

Halter361

Gehaltener Wert—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Offene Positionen—

Kommentare13

Bestes Gebot 26 % · bester Brief 32 %

Größte Halter

falloutmax7966697859820036062962777370893797454257030994450778883221499501735810143281
chicho7966697859820036062962777370893797454257030994450778883221499501735810143281
Kevink61523514447719471100390569154455440417533353453232779340703972009767897223549881
robipitt47966697859820036062962777370893797454257030994450778883221499501735810143281
CauchyBraids7966697859820036062962777370893797454257030994450778883221499501735810143281

Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.

Letzte Trades

BUY73 %7,3 $vor 2 Stunden
BUY71 %182,2 $vor 2 Stunden
BUY70 %7 $vor 2 Stunden
BUY71 %20 $vor 3 Stunden
BUY70 %7 $vor 4 Stunden
BUY33 %9,9 $vor 8 Stunden

Diskussion auf Predxy

Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.

Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.

Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.

13 Kommentare

Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket

Kommentare gehören zum Ereignis der Plattform, nicht zu diesem Ausgang. Jede Ausprägung desselben Ereignisses teilt diesen Thread.

sisiisthinking · vor 19 Tagen
how about their macos support
iForgor · vor 20 Tagen
Are we letting Bloomberg run this market too?
Onswaggie · vor 20 Tagen
Not announced at today's Apple event. Will be pushed to 2027 Q1.
Placide14 · vor 22 Tagen
Early 2027 maybe
LiterateDon · vor 23 Tagen
Based on Gurman’s analysis
soudakov · vor 6 Monaten
based on what?
teddi · vor 6 Monaten
Release will be as early as March 2027
Exemplary-Compost · vor 6 Monaten
Early 2027.
MCqdd · vor 6 Monaten
Yes
soudakov · vor 7 Monaten
Both Ming-Chi Kuo and Gurman
Crypton993513 · vor 7 Monaten
who
soudakov · vor 7 Monaten
2 of the biggest insiders are saying touch is coming in 2026
Jaffray · vor 7 Monaten
Apple’s current strategy keeps macOS touch-free (trackpad + mouse focus), while iPad handles touch.

Stand 30. Sept., 00:00 UTC