Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
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Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
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Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.
Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.
Entscheidungsregeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by April 2027 meeting? | Polymarket | 61 % No | Offen |
| Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting? | Polymarket | 78 % No | Offen |
| Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting? | Polymarket | 59 % Yes | Offen |
| Fed rate cut by June 2027 meeting? | Polymarket | 66 % No | Offen |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Polymarket | 99 % No | Offen |
| Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting? | Polymarket | 94 % No | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen vor 4 TagenBestes Gebot 97 % · bester Brief 98 %
Größte Halter
- TheReturnOfDarthMaul55388042878106612984650771012856953294835512286392194574801105901687237873381
- strategy1.255388042878106612984650771012856953294835512286392194574801105901687237873381
- simpleman55388042878106612984650771012856953294835512286392194574801105901687237873381
- NoPeeking85002355202646770038788297383084634166875614093071220064343011133051368772502
- JonTay85002355202646770038788297383084634166875614093071220064343011133051368772502
Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.
Letzte Trades
- SELL97 %5 $vor 4 Tagen
- SELL2 %0,4 $vor 4 Tagen
- SELL97 %25,7 $vor 4 Tagen
- SELL2 %3,1 $vor 4 Tagen
- SELL97 %5 $vor 4 Tagen
- SELL97 %5 $vor 4 Tagen
Diskussion auf Predxy
Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.
Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
31 Kommentare
Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket- RektCitys · vor 27 Tagen
not yet, we need a crash first
- truthteller · letzten Monat
all the girls stepping out for a public affair
- QMG-MACRO · letzten Monat
How is anyone thinking of cuts
- RektCitys · vor 2 Monaten
they will probably just hold not hike but still if there is a market crash by the end of the year before the december meeting people will probably reprice this to 30 to 40% chance of cutting, even tho i think they wont cut this year there is still money to be made in case of a repricing
- .asyverex · vor 2 Monaten
amondablack?
- RJC0001 · vor 3 Monaten
Easy money on no cuts by December. Base case is hold, one hike is a possibility, but not a cut.
- Jeffrey-Einstein · vor 3 Monaten
r u dumb? yes.
- mudeok081 · vor 3 Monaten
fed cut the rats
- mudeok081 · vor 3 Monaten
magic man
- mudeok081 · vor 3 Monaten
it wont cut until oct. mark it
- Cryptostradamus · vor 3 Monaten
How can there be a December one if this market auto resolves to no after July?
- gambler925 · vor 4 Monaten
low liquididty, ignore the retard with negative PNL who doesnt ave basic comprehension skills
- NoAFrog · vor 4 Monaten
you misunderstood the rates.... if you choose December that means that will cut rate AFTER october...But if the cut before october you will lose the December postion....
- PoorWithCryptos · vor 4 Monaten
How is it possible there are 24% for October and 21% for December ??
- Maraq · vor 6 Monaten
yes "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?" He should be confirmed by may 15 or its major fuck up by the administration
- lox-frogs · vor 6 Monaten
Interesting. do they have that literal market? what's best market to take action on that?
- Maraq · vor 6 Monaten
no, more than 10% for sure
- QuietArb · vor 7 Monaten
Still a lot of room for surprises.
- lox-frogs · vor 7 Monaten
Which is nil?
- Maraq · vor 7 Monaten
Biggest risk for june meeting is that Warsh won't be there
Stand 2. Okt., 10:29 UTC