Human moon landing in 2026?
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Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter VerlaufZiehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen
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Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.
Entscheidungsregeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Dieselbe Frage anderswo
2 Plattformen führen sie- Polymarketdieser Markt
Human moon landing in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
497 Halter · 34 Kommentare · gelesen 2. Okt., 11:19 UTC
- OpinionÖffnen →
Human moon landing in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
gelesen 2. Okt., 16:12 UTC
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen vor 5 StundenBestes Gebot 98 % · bester Brief 99 %
Größte Halter
- 0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c110420951352726780968858751854229131963307700036109190281766766630426312327876
- moon-k58-lad28341635557911393150957317220979689346286160229232485531195528953133660242151
- 0xbb889c7bdba967452ab9d752318a4859f679e32f28341635557911393150957317220979689346286160229232485531195528953133660242151
- gagagagagaga110420951352726780968858751854229131963307700036109190281766766630426312327876
- ALevinson110420951352726780968858751854229131963307700036109190281766766630426312327876
Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.
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Diskussion auf Predxy
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Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
33 Kommentare
Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket- jozeslemsek · vor 4 Monaten
Tim is NOT going to the moon
- TheStoist · vor 5 Monaten
You don't exist then
- TheStoist · vor 5 Monaten
I see a curve it's very obvious
- TheStoist · vor 5 Monaten
Nobody has been to the moon ever
- PubgWithoutSaving · vor 6 Monaten
4% bond lmao
- Nileroadrun · vor 6 Monaten
On the hopes china does this year I guess
- aialphaswarm · vor 6 Monaten
🤣
- -Dominus- · vor 6 Monaten
that will be artemis 4
- crav · vor 6 Monaten
yeah in 2028 lmao
- Topsyy · vor 6 Monaten
yeaaa we know but lets pump this market :)
- obvinsidertrading · vor 6 Monaten
just a reminder, artemis' mission only oribts the moon and has 0 plans for human moonwalk
- Moiro · vor 7 Monaten
NASA’s official Artemis III target is “no earlier than September 2026
- Puera1994 · vor 8 Monaten
What about the option to bet on a robot?
- Naichli · vor 8 Monaten
March: Artemis II launch, then China comes out of nowhere and launches a moon mission at the same time. The rockets are racing in the sky but Artemis II is not supposed to land on the surface, even though they are faster, so China lands on the moon and the bet resolves Yes
- kandinsky · vor 8 Monaten
Can we get a market for 'is the earth flat' so that UMA whales can fabricate the truth and say it's NOT when it CLEARLY IS if you just look outside. YOU CAN'T SEE A CURVE. NO ONE CAN.
- -Dominus- · vor 8 Monaten
ARTEMIS 2 WILL LAND ON THE MOON, I REPEAT: ARTEMIS 2 WILL LAND ON THE MOON WITH THE ORION MODULE TO COLLECT MOON SOIL.
- Snow-White · vor 8 Monaten
a dangerous bond - the Americans might simply lie again and say they landed on the moon.
- Stormy-Specialty · vor 8 Monaten
Its going to happen.
- fakalluhoeus · vor 8 Monaten
the moon doesnt even exist
- IraqiLobster · vor 8 Monaten
because they might """land""" (*sarcasm)
Stand 2. Okt., 16:15 UTC