Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes60 %
No41 %

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24h-Volumen19,5 $
7-Tage-Volumen1776,2 $
30-Tage-Volumen5679,2 $
Liquidität14.728,1 $
Spread1 %
Entscheidet sich1. Jan. 2027in 3 Monaten

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Ziehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen

Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf0%25%50%75%100%2. Sept.9. Sept.16. Sept.23. Sept.1. Okt.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for Bitcoin will be Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT in the chart with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar and the mouse on the candle for the relevant minute (the “time tools” selection may be used to view historical candles). The percentage change in Gold will be calculated by comparing the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by MarketWatch. The resolution source for Gold will be MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) under “Historical Quotes” at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/gc00. The percentage change in the S&P 500 will be calculated by comparing the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance. The resolution source for the S&P 500 will be Yahoo Finance, specifically the Close values published by Yahoo Finance for S&P 500 Index (^SPX) at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history/. If two or more listed assets have exactly the same performance for 2026, this market will resolve according to the asset whose name, as listed in the title of this market, comes first alphabetically (e.g. if Bitcoin and Gold tie, this market will resolve to Bitcoin). Only closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used. If any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used.

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

Zusammengefasste Frage anzeigen →
Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The published resolution criteria differ in no material way. Polymarket specifies a resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not, but both define the same underlying 2026 event and settlement criteria.
  • Polymarketdieser Markt

    Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for Bitcoin will be Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT in the chart with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar and the mouse on the candle for the relevant minute (the “time tools” selection may be used to view historical candles). The percentage change in Gold will be calculated by comparing the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by MarketWatch. The resolution source for Gold will be MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) under “Historical Quotes” at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/gc00. The percentage change in the S&P 500 will be calculated by comparing the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance. The resolution source for the S&P 500 will be Yahoo Finance, specifically the Close values published by Yahoo Finance for S&P 500 Index (^SPX) at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history/. If two or more listed assets have exactly the same performance for 2026, this market will resolve according to the asset whose name, as listed in the title of this market, comes first alphabetically (e.g. if Bitcoin and Gold tie, this market will resolve to Bitcoin). Only closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used. If any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used.

    234 Halter · 22 Kommentare · gelesen 30. Sept., 10:45 UTC

  • PredictFunÖffnen →

    Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for Bitcoin will be Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT in the chart with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar and the mouse on the candle for the relevant minute (the “time tools” selection may be used to view historical candles). The percentage change in Gold will be calculated by comparing the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by MarketWatch. The resolution source for Gold will be MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) under “Historical Quotes” at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/gc00. The percentage change in the S&P 500 will be calculated by comparing the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance. The resolution source for the S&P 500 will be Yahoo Finance, specifically the Close values published by Yahoo Finance for S&P 500 Index (^SPX) at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history/. If two or more listed assets have exactly the same performance for 2026, this market will resolve according to the asset whose name, as listed in the title of this market, comes first alphabetically (e.g. if Bitcoin and Gold tie, this market will resolve to Bitcoin). Only closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used. If any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used.

    gelesen 30. Sept., 23:36 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

MarktPlattformPreisStatus
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Polymarket76 % NoOffen
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Polymarket88 % NoOffen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Halter234
Gehaltener Wert—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Offene Positionen—
Kommentare21

Bestes Gebot 40 % · bester Brief 41 %

Größte Halter

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296628813397287133996163409607083880820332823404906966723929968780177758254032290
  • tnl32825140231045567473519733823753658145488577746690815504132235066565756510499
  • ghuonliyelkihxeklkgeu28813397287133996163409607083880820332823404906966723929968780177758254032290
  • Zptml32825140231045567473519733823753658145488577746690815504132235066565756510499
  • imakebigbets32825140231045567473519733823753658145488577746690815504132235066565756510499

Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.

Letzte Trades

  • BUY41 %47,8 $gestern
  • SELL40 %3,6 $gestern
  • BUY59 %7,1 $vorgestern
  • BUY59 %6,5 $vorgestern
  • BUY59 %4,6 $vorgestern
  • BUY59 %4,9 $vorgestern

Diskussion auf Predxy

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21 Kommentare

Kommentare gehören zum Ereignis der Plattform, nicht zu diesem Ausgang. Jede Ausprägung desselben Ereignisses teilt diesen Thread.
  • GenaTheBondKilIer · vor 2 Monaten

    tst

  • quickwhale1589 · vor 3 Monaten

    my copy trades keep hitting

  • Zesty-Nucleotide · vor 3 Monaten

    perps: 00jbvof3

  • HeyVaro · vor 4 Monaten

    performance

  • HeyVaro · vor 4 Monaten

    Sp500 ..

  • Great-Calm · vor 5 Monaten

    SnP will be up btc will be going down till dec and gold has reached its high

  • Poppy6 · vor 5 Monaten

    Individual stock differentiation intensifies, and the market is shifting from general ups and downs to structural gains.

  • waive · vor 6 Monaten

    je suis bitcoin

  • Reasonable-Desire · vor 7 Monaten

    Concur

  • Amaranthay · vor 7 Monaten

    gold

  • Pmw-Julio · vor 7 Monaten

    Ouro ou Bitcoin ??

  • bndrn · vor 7 Monaten

    wtf

  • Absolute.Degenerate · vor 8 Monaten

    yes but almost better hodling bitcoin boring bet too

  • Absolute.Degenerate · vor 8 Monaten

    yes but boring. better hold bitcoin

  • azmor · vor 8 Monaten

    easy money

  • mooresharon · vor 9 Monaten

    Bitcoin

  • wsmitpwtind · vor 9 Monaten

    why not buy sp500 instead

  • Constant-Inscription · vor 9 Monaten

    why did this trade lost in the resolution source before the trade close it was down how come yours said lost wtf your current price is not matching that of the The resolution source

  • Obamnna · vor 9 Monaten

    Lol you can make 140% here and bitcoin can win by just going down less

  • TheGoldenShotg4nSK · vor 9 Monaten

    Instead of betting on BTC just buy BTC. That way you will be more likely to make profit and even if SP500 or gold outperforms BTC you will still have profit from BTC gaining value.

Stand 1. Okt., 02:28 UTC