Fed Decision in October: 25 bps increase

No57 %
Yes44 %

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Entscheidet sich28. Okt. 2026in 29 Tagen

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Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf0%25%50%75%100%2. Sept.9. Sept.16. Sept.23. Sept.29. Sept.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm . The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm . This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

Zusammengefasste Frage anzeigen →
Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The published resolution criteria are materially identical, including the FOMC statement and Federal Reserve sources, rounding rule, and fallback rule; only the stated resolution timestamps differ by four hours.
  • Limitlessdieser Markt

    Fed Decision in October: 25 bps increase

    The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm . The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm . This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    2 Halter · gelesen 29. Sept., 21:47 UTC

  • PolymarketÖffnen →

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    1282 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 28. Sept., 21:19 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

MarktPlattformPreisStatus
Fed Decision in October: No changeLimitless56 % YesOffen
Fed Decision in October: 50+ bps decreaseLimitless50 % NoOffen
Fed Decision in October: 25 bps decreaseLimitless99 % NoOffen
Fed Decision in October: 50+ bps increaseLimitless99 % NoOffen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Halter2
Gehaltener Wert98 $
Trades (24h)—
Trades3
Offene Positionen—
Kommentare0

Bestes Gebot 41 % · bester Brief 46 %

Größte Halter

  • 0x37349aC15349410E7CA3cD5Ce37AfD7E2B8538CcYes65 $
  • 0x3Eda6446d3f458E8ce2b9C433C59D719E331fc28No33 $

Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.

Letzte Trades

  • —33 %0,5 $vor 5 Tagen
  • —50 %0,7 $vor 7 Tagen
  • —27 %26,5 $letzten Monat

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Stand 29. Sept., 23:14 UTC