Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
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Entscheidungsregeln
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Offen |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 95 % Yes | Offen |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 97 % No | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen vor 3 TagenBestes Gebot 1 % · bester Brief 2 %
Größte Halter
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296697832856862127986027766147933852971526937878635748074587497266036978127808919
- Calimer062672831099052856773092936123032454032816810006460666476569228483231264400027
- lug97832856862127986027766147933852971526937878635748074587497266036978127808919
- mrworldwide62672831099052856773092936123032454032816810006460666476569228483231264400027
- 0xee6712ea09d6a9c86793bb6dde10ea59040e67a662672831099052856773092936123032454032816810006460666476569228483231264400027
Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.
Letzte Trades
- SELL99 %13,8 $vor 3 Tagen
- SELL1 %0,1 $vor 3 Tagen
- SELL1 %22,9 $vor 3 Tagen
- SELL1 %0,1 $vor 3 Tagen
- SELL1 %0,1 $vor 3 Tagen
- SELL1 %0 $vor 3 Tagen
Diskussion auf Predxy
Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.
Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
79 Kommentare
Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket- taut-dogwood · vorgestern
rekt
- Calimer0 · vor 3 Tagen
GG I'll never redeem my shares, I'm leaving them to my great-grandkids to remember an old party that doesn't exist anymore and only held power for 8 years.
- Fitzg · vor 9 Tagen
You're right, as long as the others are divided.
- GOGO- · vor 9 Tagen
The PQ doesn’t need gains.
- Fitzg · vor 9 Tagen
Ok, new pallas is bad for CAQ/Frechette Still no new gain for PQ
- Fitzg · vor 9 Tagen
I'm waiting for polls showing the PQ gaining ground. There hasn't been a single one since the start of the campaign. Also, there are way too many undecided voters at this stage.
- maisond · vor 9 Tagen
bro for the love of god sell, caq is not winning
- WhaleWatch-44630 · vor 10 Tagen
mrworldwide is up 2.97% on their $2,882.21 bet on PQ with outcome Yes. Current value: $2,967.95. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.
- Fitzg · vor 11 Tagen
I changed my name, it should help me
- Pointed-Advice · vor 11 Tagen
I mean proportionally to the percentage of votes they received.
- Fitzg · vor 11 Tagen
I just realized you said: "boomers also tend to vote heavily for the Parti Québécois under normal circumstances" — when? 2012?
- Fitzg · vor 11 Tagen
- Pointed-Advice · vor 11 Tagen
That would be the right time, when the next polls come out on Monday or Tuesday, this percentage will increase.
- Fitzg · vor 11 Tagen
you should go buy PQ majority at 20c
- Pointed-Advice · vor 11 Tagen
Boomers also tend to vote heavily for the Parti Québécois under normal circumstances, but many of them moved to the CAQ at the beginning of the campaign. Many of them will return to the PQ. As for the PLQ, if it gains a little at the CAQ expense, that would increase the chances of a majority for the Parti Québécois.
- Fitzg · vor 11 Tagen
I believe you. So if Fréchette drops, federalists and boomers who don't want a referendum will vote PLQ? And with the PQ rising, which parties will the PQ have taken votes from?
- Pointed-Advice · vor 11 Tagen
In the next Léger poll, the Parti Québécois will rise and the CAQ will fall. Christine Fréchette has had a disastrous week.
- Fitzg · vor 11 Tagen
I still think anything can happen with our British parliamentary system, 5 parties, and the leading one at 28% (historically the lowest for a win)
- Fitzg · vor 11 Tagen
let's go boomers!
- Fitzg · vor 11 Tagen
I sold some, but not enough
Stand 30. Sept., 20:02 UTC