Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

No63 %
Yes38 %

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30-Tage-Volumen335.892,2 $
Liquidität206.280,7 $
Spread1 %
Entscheidet sich4. Nov. 2026nächsten Monat

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Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf0%25%50%75%100%2. Sept.9. Sept.16. Sept.24. Sept.1. Okt.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The published resolution criteria are identical, including the three-source confirmation requirement and fallback to official certification.
  • Polymarketdieser Markt

    Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

    1034 Halter · 130 Kommentare · gelesen 30. Sept., 11:59 UTC

  • PredictFunÖffnen →

    Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

    gelesen 1. Okt., 04:48 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

MarktPlattformPreisStatus
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Polymarket63 % YesOffen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Halter1034
Gehaltener Wert—
Trades (24h)—
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Offene Positionen—
Kommentare130

Bestes Gebot 39 % · bester Brief 40 %

Größte Halter

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b129669846414914422486942750462555692240718767368950832862364324602361738794436048
  • chuckrhoades21265207456609426291246075480390336499088453711419597084147957999650569091884
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  • Fearless-Misnomer9846414914422486942750462555692240718767368950832862364324602361738794436048

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130 Kommentare

Kommentare gehören zum Ereignis der Plattform, nicht zu diesem Ausgang. Jede Ausprägung desselben Ereignisses teilt diesen Thread.
  • Roeman · vor 3 Tagen

    Buddy is hoping for that 5k check

  • dPredictor · vor 3 Tagen

    maggot should go back to the hole they came from

  • GoodChanses · vor 4 Tagen

    The Republican establishment is refusing to support Paxton since he took their biyatch cornyn out. Paxton has an uphill battle ahead of him. Ironically the lack of support from the republican establishment may yet save him in an election where the Republican Party is pretty unpopular. We will see. Cornyn would be doing much worse. Everyone had had energy of him.

  • randyandi · vor 6 Tagen

    and you are a rassist idiot

  • Magician5342 · vor 6 Tagen

    Republicans should have nominated Cornyn.

  • Carlosoiu · vor 7 Tagen

  • dPredictor · vor 9 Tagen

    ICE shot a man in the back, yoinked him out of the hospital, drove him a hundred miles, shackled, with a bullet next to his spine, then made him sleep in the floor, now he is paralyzed. Even if you are all for 'mass deportations' what they did is a crime against humanity, and will flip Texas blue for good.

  • dPredictor · vor 9 Tagen

    make it 1K

  • Handsome-Inevitable · vor 9 Tagen

    You have an all time loss of 462 dollars brah

  • Zaratustra · vor 10 Tagen

    Ken loser

  • insanelgreat · vor 10 Tagen

    Ty for the free money, leftist losers.

  • kaijennings537 · vor 10 Tagen

    lets go, James

  • AnEggplant · vor 13 Tagen

    Trashfalgar has fallen. James Talafreako will represent the good people of Cowfuck, Texas in the United States Senate.

  • takeabreath · vor 13 Tagen

    It's a bit more complex than that, I think. If it were that obvious to dems in the past Texas would've been blue sooner. It's the right time to be Talarico, because the republican party is in a transition period that I think many working class republicans do not trust. Paxton's camp is laden with scandals, he is backed by someone who is also laden with scandals (Trump) and they have no plans to alleviate economic issues of working class households. It's a perfect storm for change. But precedent in Texas is still a major barrier. The first signal that TX turns blue in Nov will determine if a blue wave will happen or not, I think.

  • Jubilant-Clavicle · vor 14 Tagen

    So you'll elect a deeply corrupt pdf file protector as long as they aren't overly sympathetic to trans people, who make up 0.000001% of Texas. Makes sense.

  • Humble-Moai · vor 15 Tagen

    What does “moderate” even mean? He’s willing to say that there are only two sexes, and that transgender women should not be allowed to compete in women’s sports when doing so could create safety concerns for female athletes. If Talarico isn’t willing to clearly state those two positions, then at least I wouldn’t vote for him.

  • HDTomo-229 · vor 16 Tagen

    Talarico is not broadly moderate. A large part is just native fluency in kitchen table economics, religion, and just being a plain good speaker. That's just a particularly good outreach method for Texas. His policies could be Mamdani or Manchin and he'd do similar

  • HDTomo-229 · vor 16 Tagen

    Market decided to finally stop being boring and wrong Texas is arguably bluer than Ohio now

  • Warm-Sail · vor 16 Tagen

    Lmfao 😂😆 GOP cheat factor.

  • AnEggplant · vor 16 Tagen

    Ahem

Stand 1. Okt., 15:33 UTC